This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between Oman and Iran. A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian or Omani policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at managing, permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, including agreements defining vessel traffic corridors, fee collection policies, or other management policies. All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for the Payout Condition to be met. A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement. Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement. Each announcement must be a declarative statement that clearly and unambiguously communicates acceptance of an agreement. Statements that reference ongoing negotiations or a prospective agreement, or that allude to or express support for an agreement without confirming acceptance of the agreement, do not qualify. A qualifying announcement need not reference the agreement by name or use specific terminology, provided it clearly communicates acceptance of an agreement. Whether announcements from the listed countries represent a diplomatic agreement and whether such an agreement qualifies will be primarily determined through the announcements themselves. Where an announcement is made by all listed countries but, based on the announcements, it remains ambiguous whether the announcements represent a qualifying diplomatic agreement between the countries, this market will remain open until either i) definitive confirmation that the announcements represent a qualifying diplomatic agreement between the listed entities is achieved through further announcements from the listed countries or a consensus of credible reporting or ii) 14 calendar days (ET) have passed after the date that the last country made their first potentially qualifying announcement. If, at the end of the fourteenth calendar day, no definitive confirmation has been achieved, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Oman and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
24H VOLUME
$15.7K
LIQUIDITY
$15.7K
BALANCE
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Comments (50)
Johan-Cruijff Sep 19
Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Iran and Oman reached an understanding regarding determining a safe passage route in the Strait of Hormuz
trendtamerhh6 Sep 17
the deal that was supposed to land in september is down to 6 with october at 40, the fade's been on polybro scope all month, the market's finally listening
LevantLeverage Sep 14
The end of a legend, i will miss you Arman...
MEPP Sep 14
The Minister of Energy of Oman said that the Strait of Hormuz will probably be opened and the current situation will be short-term.
iForgor Sep 13
Well well well..
LEGENDARY101 Sep 13
Knew it wouldn't happen. There was never any confirmation from Oman
MEPP Sep 13
court jesters on Y
MEPP Sep 13
nop
GammaSqueeze1234 Sep 13
postponed?
Avitz33 Sep 13
That market was one hell of a ride
Avitz33 Sep 13
lol
Channel4 Sep 13
Sorry not sorry
Car Sep 13
Meeting postponed indefinitely per Saudi Arabia request
SickandTired Sep 13
Arman
GammaSqueeze1234 Sep 13
i mean if you are gonna take my money let me know how I die
GammaSqueeze1234 Sep 13
genuinely who is pumping yes sept 14.
AlexxHamilton Sep 13
will happen 🤝
SickandTired Sep 13
then why do you have Yes shares?
Avitz33 Sep 13
Probably will
JMSHZMBR988115 Sep 13
It won’t !
ithinkthisisgod Sep 13
p1 no arman is on y
MEPP Sep 13
it will happen
pink.impala Sep 12
prepare to lose your money!
JMSHZMBR988115 Sep 12
It’s a no don’t be fooled
AlexxHamilton Sep 12
hahaa
yungsoleimani Sep 12
smart
Rainless Sep 12
i got a better entry than you too
AlexxHamilton Sep 12
why did mecca agreement ? this is like that .
SickandTired Sep 12
then why do you have 2.8k YES shares for Sept. 14?
SickandTired Sep 12
why would they do that?
AlexxHamilton Sep 12
i got better
Rainless Sep 12
haha i got a better entry than you
Raskell Sep 12
Could easily be some sham agreement just for optics
adasol Sep 12
the elephant in the room here is the Hormuz fee. Iran wants to collect fees, but so far Oman resists this idea. That is why it is unlikely to produce any agreements on Monday
MerhabaKardesim Sep 12
Yep
AlexxHamilton Sep 12
this is enough to resolve yes .
NoSteinNoGate Sep 12
Why would a route plan drop oil prices?
0VLYp Sep 12
Deal will be signed and announced but the strait will not be opened. Iran wants to present this new route to the Americans as a sign that they are serious in opening the strait if they reciprocate with respect to the blockade.
dfupagain Sep 12
A conditional agreement that formalizes Iran’s gains while keeping actual reopening contingent on U.S. action could be well worth a temporary dip in oil prices. Iran would preserve most of its underlying leverage while gaining a diplomatic win, strengthening its claim that Washington is the main obstacle to normalization and potentially isolating the U.S. politically. Oman is still the difficult part, but that also makes Pezeshkian’s wording more significant: it is hard to believe Iran’s president would publicly frame Monday around signing the agreement unless there had been some credible progress behind the scenes. For that reason, I’m inclined to give his on-the-record statement more weight than an anonymous Reuters source, even if the latter is closer to the technical negotiations. - GL!
thevotwddweller Sep 12
That's why Iranians keep emphasizing that the upcoming deal doesn't mean opening up the strait. It's just a deal between Oman and Iran. Read the news.
paddaa Sep 12
That’s just what I was thinking !
MrMelonHead Sep 12
I think the challenge is as follows: If they announce something, oil prices will drop, reducing Iran's negotiation leverage. Meaning Iran is only likely to agree to a deal that is very favorable to them, which Trump is unlikely to agree to. I think the chance of Oman agreeing to something against Trump's wishes is quite low. Sure, there are many other factors at play, and I may be missing something, but for the reason stated, I believe yes is quite unlikely.
0xD324e20e3462d859a2913C5bfD162Ed7F9Aeb23c-1773152871743 Sep 12
They don't need to sign anything for this to resolve yes. All it takes is the announcement of an MoU between Iran and Oman.
Konfucious Sep 12
Correcto
Channel4 Sep 12
IRAN-GULF TALKS UNLIKELY TO PRODUCE HORMUZ DEAL Monday’s meeting between Iran and Gulf states in Oman is not expected to produce a signed agreement on the Strait of Hormuz, a senior Iranian official told Reuters.
AlexxHamilton Sep 12
i don't watch loosers .
AlexxHamilton Sep 12
i know you are still crying for money you lost 🤪
yungsoleimani Sep 12
son stop pocket watching me
AlexxHamilton Sep 12
abdollah , you are the most stupid guy i have ever seen
AlexxHamilton Sep 12
so don't any bet you make 😉
