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Politics

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%
$11.8M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will Alberta join the US?

1%
$2.2M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Markets

$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?

50%
$1.7M Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

3%
$1.4M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

4%
$1.3M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

2%
$937.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

September 30, 202650%
December 31, 202650%
2 more
$756.8K Vol.•Jun 23, 2027
Politics

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

5%
$640.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

9%
$533.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

50%
$525.2K Vol.•Ends Oct 1, 2026
Politics

SBF released from custody in 2026?

2%
$465.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

9%
$455.0K Vol.•Ends Jul 1, 2027
Politics

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

2%
$446.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Brazil Presidential Election

Tarcisio de Freitas0%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva42%
17 more
$425.5K Vol.•Oct 4, 2026
Politics

Will any country leave NATO by...?

3%
$400.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

2%
$395.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

September 300%
December 313%
$360.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass42%
Nithya Raman58%
$352.3K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?

160-1791%
180-19913%
16 more
$349.5K Vol.•Sep 25, 2026
Politics

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

4%
$342.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

September 30100%
October 31100%
3 more
$323.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom13%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
51 more
$321.8K Vol.•Nov 8, 2028

Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?

September 23100%
September 25100%
1 more
$313.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance21%
Gavin Newsom8%
51 more
$306.4K Vol.•Jan 21, 2029

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

December 31, 202612%
March 31, 202728%
$275.2K Vol.•Apr 1, 2027
Politics

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

6%
$273.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

1%
$254.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3161%
September 308%
1 more
$245.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Israel closes its airspace by...?

100%
$244.1K Vol.•Ends Oct 1, 2026
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

3%
$241.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

2%
$222.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

SSeptember 2597%
SSeptember 3089%
3 more
$215.6K Vol.•Oct 31, 2026

Will $LAPTOP flip $TRUMP by ___?

December 31, 2026100%
June 30, 2027100%
1 more
$213.7K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028
Politics

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

5%
$212.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%
$197.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

7%
$186.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

EU dissolves before 2027?

2%
$180.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%
$179.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

December 31, 20264%
September 30, 20260%
1 more
$172.1K Vol.•Jul 1, 2027

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Sen. Dan Sullivan28%
Ann Diener0%
5 more
$169.9K Vol.•Aug 1, 2027

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanese Forces (LF)0%
Hezbollah (Hezb)0%
21 more
$169.0K Vol.•Nov 1, 2026
Politics

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

6%
$163.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

11%
$161.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Edmundo González0%
María Corina Machado0%
14 more
$161.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

12%
$159.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

5%
$157.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

5%
$153.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

JD Vance out as VP by...?

5%
$152.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027