Science

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

$588.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

042%

146%

$499.9K Vol.•Apr 1, 2027

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$329.5K Vol.•Ends Feb 1, 2027

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

September 300%

December 313%

$202.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

$196.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$142.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

$139.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$117.3K Vol.•Ends Mar 1, 2027

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

December 31, 20263%

December 31, 202752%

$46.3K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

$26.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

$20.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 8, 2027

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

11%

$16.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

$13.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

$13.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Elon Bull Run Combo

$12.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 2, 2027

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SSpaceX56%

OOpenAI44%

$12.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

September 30, 20266%

December 31, 202641%

$11.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

$11.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

December 31, 20262%

December 31, 202714%

$11.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

$9.0K Vol.•Ends Mar 1, 2027

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

September 30, 202611%

December 31, 202643%

$8.0K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

December 31, 202749%

June 30, 202728%

$7.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

September 3081%

October 3198%

$7.0K Vol.•Jul 1, 2027

Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

<$600B0%

$600-$700B0%

$5.0K Vol.•Oct 1, 2026

Precipitation in NYC in September?

<2"1%

2-3"49%

$4.1K Vol.•Dec 8, 2026

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer20%

Hodge Conjecture53%

$4.0K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

77.9 or below74%

88.0 – 8.111%

$3.4K Vol.•Jan 7, 2027

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

October 31100%

December 31100%

$3.4K Vol.•-

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

059%

133%

$3.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

DDecember 31, 20264%

DDecember 31, 202714%

$3.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2029

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 3111%

December 3113%

$2.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

175%

224%

$2.6K Vol.•Mar 2, 2027

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 202619%

September 30, 20261%

$2.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

September 21 to September 25, 20262%

September 26 to September 30, 20263%

$2.1K Vol.•Oct 1, 2026

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

CCristobal0%

DDolly0%

18 more

$2.1K Vol.•Nov 30, 2026

Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

100%

$1.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

FFewer than 201%

220 to 3416%

$1.7K Vol.•Apr 1, 2027

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

<275mm98%

275-300mm1%

8 more

$1.5K Vol.•Dec 8, 2026

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$1.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX42%

OpenAI1%

10 more

$1.1K Vol.•Jan 2, 2027

AI data center in space by...?

December 31, 20262%

December 31, 202722%

$1.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

76%

$1.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2028

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

0036%

11-364%

$829 Vol.•Dec 1, 2026

Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

3500+98%

3800+2%

3 more

$819 Vol.•Oct 1, 2026

Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?

11%

$806 Vol.•Ends Jul 1, 2027

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Riemann Hypothesis8%

P versus NP3%

12 more

$785 Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Precipitation in London in September?

<30mm35%

30-40mm46%

$777 Vol.•Dec 8, 2026

Science

91 markets

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

$588.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

042%

146%

$499.9K Vol.•Apr 1, 2027

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$329.5K Vol.•Ends Feb 1, 2027

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

September 300%

December 313%

$202.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

$196.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$142.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

$139.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$117.3K Vol.•Ends Mar 1, 2027

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

December 31, 20263%

December 31, 202752%

$46.3K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

$26.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

$20.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 8, 2027

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

11%

$16.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

$13.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

$13.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Elon Bull Run Combo

$12.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 2, 2027

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SSpaceX56%

OOpenAI44%

$12.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

September 30, 20266%

December 31, 202641%

$11.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

$11.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

December 31, 20262%

December 31, 202714%

$11.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

$9.0K Vol.•Ends Mar 1, 2027

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

September 30, 202611%

December 31, 202643%

$8.0K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

December 31, 202749%

June 30, 202728%

$7.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

September 3081%

October 3198%

$7.0K Vol.•Jul 1, 2027

Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

<$600B0%

$600-$700B0%

$5.0K Vol.•Oct 1, 2026

Precipitation in NYC in September?

<2"1%

2-3"49%

$4.1K Vol.•Dec 8, 2026

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer20%

Hodge Conjecture53%

$4.0K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

77.9 or below74%

88.0 – 8.111%

$3.4K Vol.•Jan 7, 2027

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

October 31100%

December 31100%

$3.4K Vol.•-

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

059%

133%

$3.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

DDecember 31, 20264%

DDecember 31, 202714%

$3.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2029

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 3111%

December 3113%

$2.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

175%

224%

$2.6K Vol.•Mar 2, 2027

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 202619%

September 30, 20261%

$2.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

September 21 to September 25, 20262%

September 26 to September 30, 20263%

$2.1K Vol.•Oct 1, 2026

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

CCristobal0%

DDolly0%

18 more

$2.1K Vol.•Nov 30, 2026

Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

100%

$1.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

FFewer than 201%

220 to 3416%

$1.7K Vol.•Apr 1, 2027

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

<275mm98%

275-300mm1%

8 more

$1.5K Vol.•Dec 8, 2026

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

$1.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX42%

OpenAI1%

10 more

$1.1K Vol.•Jan 2, 2027

AI data center in space by...?

December 31, 20262%

December 31, 202722%

$1.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

76%

$1.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2028

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

0036%

11-364%

$829 Vol.•Dec 1, 2026

Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

3500+98%

3800+2%

3 more

$819 Vol.•Oct 1, 2026

Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?

11%

$806 Vol.•Ends Jul 1, 2027

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Riemann Hypothesis8%

P versus NP3%

12 more

$785 Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Precipitation in London in September?

<30mm35%

30-40mm46%