The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
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Comments (31)
vvv2 Sep 22
certified results are out
PablickM. Sep 8
This will be resolved on September 22
mrworldwide Sep 1
The rules ask for the certified results
anonboi2 Sep 1
why is it not resolved tho?
Compound-57 Aug 30
Resolve it plz
GenaTheBondKilIer Aug 30
FUCK THE COMMIE-NAZI EU
kadidi Aug 30
Áfram Ísland!
cart Aug 30
fuck the EU
Compound-57 Aug 30
Yes is gone
caprice1 Aug 30
Thanks Trump ! Referendum is YES
Compound-57 Aug 29
51.5 yes to 48.5 no atm
nicgf2000 Aug 29
Its going to come down to the southwest
Compound-57 Aug 29
Very close
nicgf2000 Aug 29
ya they just came in, still edging towards no
bigic Aug 29
They're from rural constituencies that are usually more eurosceptic. Votes from the Reykjavik area (where most of the country lives) are expected to be more pro-EU
nicgf2000 Aug 29
first polls edge closer to no with 60%
manage Aug 29
no bu
bigic Aug 29
🇮🇸 🇲🇪 🇪🇺 2️⃣0️⃣2️⃣8️⃣
anonboi2 Aug 29
bro made it up
ueropeanx Aug 29
source?
Channel4 Aug 29
Úrtakskönnun spáir: kl. 18:30 að staðartíma Já 55,4% Nei 44,6% N = 709
anonboi2 Aug 28
the polls have a bias towards the Yes... No people are less likely to be doing surveys in a randomized setting like they did
DontTrustMe Aug 25
As you probably know it, Iceland is a tiny country population-wise. A handful of data centers could represent a great economic opportunity for them. And apparently, Iceland is an ideal place for data centers.
betjunkie Aug 25
This does not make sense. Even if it were true, why would a random citizen vote for his future based on a data center?
0x85b58f2298726089d5eb08ca101e4fe1351f6056 Aug 25
we do - it will pause all other conracts - there are talks of datacenter that would be halted until this is resolved. and this will not resolve, as the eu would never put forth a contract that wouldn't be >50% likely to pass. so this will be a 5 year limbo for iceland - or until a new government withdraws the application formally.
0x85b58f2298726089d5eb08ca101e4fe1351f6056 Aug 25
it's a strange vote, even the pm has said things that can be interpreted as not wanting this to be approved.
DontTrustMe Aug 18
If polls for this referendum are this close, then it's probably not worth it for Iceland to go through the hassle of negotiating a deal and having a second referendum, which would most likely fail. The only smart choice is probably to vote No at this point. But let's be honest, what do I know about Iceland...
DontTrustMe Aug 7
The Wikipedia page for the referendum indicates that only two Icelandic political parties support the Yes side. That's surprisingly low. 🤔
betjunkie Aug 4
Latest poll shows 53% yes
betjunkie Jul 17
An EU join seems less likely, but Icelanders don't have anything to lose from these negotiations
DontTrustMe Jun 12
Iceland has been doing fine all those years while being out of the EU. You would think Icelanders will want to keep things as it is.
