This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
24H VOLUME
$61
LIQUIDITY
$61
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)
12beduins Aug 19
i think it was a highly relevant comment, i obtain value from it!
SIMOMEGA Aug 19
irrelevant
12beduins Aug 15
J##s be like 😭 😭 not our fault we the victim redrum redrum
12beduins Aug 15
J**** N**** at it again, always murdering, never their fault
12beduins Aug 15
The IDF claimed the target of the strike in Ansar, which killed seven people, was Ali Samir Al-Haj Hassan, an alleged battalion commander in the Radwan Force unit of Hezbollah. The IDF also stated that others who died were "terrorists", and that Ali Samir's family was injured, since he "used them as a human shield" by sheltering them in his "headquarters". The strike destroyed a residential unit.
SIMOMEGA Jul 20
israeli colonists killed a young man like a year ago, they also want to do the same to his father, so "never harm innocent" is wrong, both sides are wrong
SIMOMEGA Jul 20
?
ArieLethal Jul 20
Am Yisrael chai
ArieLethal Jul 20
These are terrorists who killed children and innocent people.
ArieLethal Jul 20
You are lying, Israel is not harming anyone, you see the truth on the networks and everything they published about Israel was fake news. I live here and we never harm innocent people. All the terrorists around us use their citizens as human shields. Israel tries to protect its residents and even residents in enemy territory who end up harming us but we are human beings good people do not harm innocent people and if they are harmed it is because Israel is fighting against terrorists who are using people and children as shields. And our people are being killed. You are brainwashed, look at the people who support terrorism. They don't even know what they are saying. You ignore the reality that they are killing innocent citizens in Israel and people here. On October 7, it was Palestinian citizens who abused and harmed innocent citizens. You are simply a bad person. If you talk like that, we want peace. They want to kill us.
SIMOMEGA Jul 15
let them cook
NOIZYUV Jul 14
People don't understand that there's literally a 0% chance for a full withdrawal in 2026
NOIZYUV Jul 14
You gonna lose your money buddy
arsenelupin Jul 14
JUST IN: President Trump tells Israel to withdraw its forces from Lebanon and Syria, Axios reports.
SIMOMEGA Jul 11
shut up if u have nothing relevant to say
12beduins Jul 7
Israels pure evil, pure pure evil, nasty ppl, murderous ppl, horrible horrible horrible!
12beduins Jul 7
Yesterday, the IOF killed the director of a kindergarten school, Professor Aspirinza Ghendour, along with her mother, their maid, and a Syrian worker, in an airstrike on Nabatieh in southern Lebanon.
SIMOMEGA Jul 2
Fars?
NOIZYUV Jul 2
At least 40 terrorists trapped in a tunnel ehich the idf is guarding. Possible senior Iranians trapped too. Idf just killed one that tried to escape
recko Jul 2
Me too
pink.impala Jul 1
ive sold my shit ive never gonna bet in this stupid market again!
NOIZYUV Jul 1
Not going to happen anytime soon, probably not even this year
LShibalba Jun 29
No such thing as Palestine
LShibalba Jun 29
You are a muppet though.
SIMOMEGA Jun 29
so does palestine, and for the record, both sides are wrong jsyk
NOIZYUV Jun 28
As a human I hope Hezbollah disarms so Israel can withdraw and Lebanon can prosper
hyper-liquid-xyz Jun 28
2 hours ago - Iranian state media says it has now "no choice but to obtain the atomic bomb" to remove "the military option for the occupation and partitioning of Iran" from the table, arguing Iran must "absolutely reach nuclear deterrence" before current negotiations can be conducted "from a correct position," per Fars. 😮😮😮
recko Jun 28
as a human, I hope.
recko Jun 28
I hope that Israel quit Lebanon ASAP.
J4RL3M Jun 28
its going to be Final now Benjamin Netanyahu as Agreement with Lebannon That they gonna stop war wich lead to withdraw from Lebanon
Shampooo Jun 28
BREAKING: Benjamin Netanyahu has moved to a secret residence.
pink.impala Jun 28
yeh it was mistake to buy this i regret
pink.impala Jun 28
Dont call me a muppet plz
LShibalba Jun 27
Why don't you guys ever READ the bet youre making? In order for you to win we will need to withdraw EVERY soldier. Sell now if you want to keep it, we ain't gonna withdraw...
LShibalba Jun 27
How dare we want to exist right? Keep throwing your money away, something tells me youre American
LShibalba Jun 27
Show some respect ya muppet. Anyone with a functioning brain would know that there is 0 chance we will withdraw in elections year.
pink.impala Jun 27
Netanyahu on Lebanon: We are destroying their terrorist infrastructure. There are bunkers, there are tunnels, there are terror villages. We are destroying everything.
NOIZYUV Jun 27
Israel will not withdraw from Lebanon entirely in the next 1-2 months at least, if not longer than that. There is a very wide consensus among all parties including most of the opposition
pink.impala Jun 27
Towel-heads vs napkin-heads at it again its basically IMPOSSIBLE to predict anything in this market im thinking bout betting on some other market IDK
NOIZYUV Jun 27
Lebanese soldiers were seen beating up Hezbollah supporters
NOIZYUV Jun 27
As I've said many times- no full withdrawal. It's literally part of the signed agreement
pink.impala Jun 27
Horrible horrible Israel all they do is destroy everything
pink.impala Jun 26
Nice!
NOIZYUV Jun 26
Naim Qassem admits: "It is impossible to break Israel's military power"
NOIZYUV Jun 26
3 terrorists killed this morning near Nabatieh
NOIZYUV Jun 25
The meeting between Lebanon and Israel reached a dead end due to the issue of withdrawal from the south [of Lebanon]", Al Arabiya reports citing a source
J4RL3M Jun 25
Times of Israel: Live Update arrow right icon From the Liveblog of Thursday, June 25, 2026 Israel has withdrawn from part of southern Lebanon security zone, US official claims By Reuters and ToI Staff Today, 12:08 pm driving along a road in southern Lebanon on June 22, 2026. (Jalaa MAREY / AFP) / Israel has withdrawn from some of the southern Lebanese territory it has seized in its war with Hezbollah, a US State Department official says, adding that Lebanon’s armed forces should now step in. There is no immediate comment from Israel. A senior Lebanese security official says they are unaware of any withdrawal of Israeli troops from its so-called security zone in southern Lebanon. The State Department official does not say how much territory Israel withdrew from or where exactly the pullback occurred. Israel and Lebanon have been holding US-brokered talks in Washington aimed in part at halting fighting between Israel and the Iran-backed Hezbollah terror group. “Israel has already taken a concrete step by pulling back from a part of its buffer zone. This is a significant demonstration of good faith toward Lebanon’s legitimate government,” the official says. “The [Lebanese Armed Forces] should now move in and verifiably clear out terrorist weapons and infrastructure. This model will be repeated across South Lebanon, enabling the safe return of displaced families, reconstruction of the south, and the restoration of full Lebanese sovereignty,” the official adds.
NOIZYUV Jun 25
Sell before you lose everything
J4RL3M Jun 25
They will
J4RL3M Jun 25
Current as an Israeli I heared it 2 hours ago in Israel news
