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Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?

World

Eventcmtla1ytt0cmemv0172iptp53
Closes in

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Tsentralna volytsia x Peremohy volytsia at 48.492703° N, 37.607318° E in Dovha Balka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka+intersection+zoom.png Intersection Location in Dovha Balka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka+intersection.png Dovha Balka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Sp1hCRWLBnNtSwTk8 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

24H VOLUME

$95

LIQUIDITY

$95

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (8)

Vitoshere Jun 15

It's been confirmed by video today

CoachesDontPlay May 3

russian troops advanced as far as here 48.493689,37.611084

CoachesDontPlay May 3

109th Territorial Defense Brigade hits Russian-held blows up a Russian-held basement in Dovha Balka with a Vampire Drone Dropped TM-62 1:10-1:15=1:20-1:24📌 48.493675, 37.611025

AluV Apr 27

Definitely yes for May

CoachesDontPlay Apr 26

i will dont worry

leCommissaire Apr 26

so buy more YES

rafael7 Apr 26

🥴

CoachesDontPlay Apr 26

confirmed that russia was seen here 48.491344, 37.611860, for this market to close as YES it needs to be 48.492703, 37.607318 which is just about 400m, 3-4 houses, they need to clear this in 35 days, very possible

September 30

Potential payout$416.67