Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

World

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count. To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors). Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

24H VOLUME

$161

LIQUIDITY

$161

BALANCE

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (50)

SIMOMEGA Jul 2

obv

nm568 Jul 2

Iran firmly rejects surrendering its enriched uranium reserves, so no such deal will materialize in the near future.

SIMOMEGA Jun 30

speak english or shut up

SIMOMEGA Jun 29

then why are you on yes

SIMOMEGA Jun 29

source?

NOIZYUV Jun 29

Correct. Iran has to announce or sign an agreement agreeing that some uranium (any amount) will be transferred out of the country

usurper55 Jun 29

Correct me if i am wrong, an agreement of Iran to dillute their enriched uranium stockpile to a x% of enrichment, inside iran under western supervision is considered as a NO.

0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 Jun 23

They would rather eat it than ship (or most likely sale) away aahhahahahah

0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 Jun 23

No way ahahahahahah

NOIZYUV Jun 23

Iranian Ambassador to the UN says transferring enriched uranium to Russia is under consideration, Al Arabiya reports

sonnguyen95 Jun 21

rig this shieet pls

egos2 Jun 20

Mañana tambien no se dará la reunion programada, compare el % aca y el de la reunion que dice se llevara antes del 30 en Suiza

Mission3 Jun 19

Iran will never do total surrender

0x88bc7d0F219A0954D5FdED6fc362eFf8064b57D5-1776460552192 Jun 19

Loving the cope from the “yes” crowd here

0x88bc7d0F219A0954D5FdED6fc362eFf8064b57D5-1776460552192 Jun 19

TOTAL IRANIAN VICTORY

dylensmoke Jun 18

JD VANCE: They've made very concrete nuclear commitments. They have committed to the destruction of their highly enriched stockpile.

oopslostmoney Jun 17

Hahaha, that was really funny

Oracle99 Jun 17

I see... thanks

lox-frogs Jun 17

he's home for the day, his wife is Al-adeen

disabledsenses Jun 16

wtf

0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 Jun 16

"Where is the head of my nuclear program and procurer of women? Where is Nuclear Nadal?"

0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 Jun 16

They will bring a case of stuff to Geneva, so that Donald may try the product :)

Karim89 Jun 15

Everyone who put NO here. Find a completed Nuclear Deal market. Today the polymarket completed this remark as Yes. Although it is common knowledge that no nuclear deal was reached. Even the preliminary agreement has not been signed yet. Save you money before it is not to late. Scam here

iutwpfal Jun 15

Controlled demolition?

iutwpfal Jun 15

Destroyed how

Oracle99 Jun 14

Ok which rule??

DonationsReceiver Jun 14

don't bet if you can't even understand the rules

Oracle99 Jun 14

What if the uranium is simply destroyed? It should still be counted as "surrendered"; however, it remains unclear whether it would be classified as transferred, shipped, or placed under custodial control.

wesygwseygws Jun 14

have some thoughts that iran will not agree as uranium is important