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Iran leadership change by...?

Politics

Eventcmtla1v7x0akamv01kb29d36a
Closes in

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

24H VOLUME

$38.0K

LIQUIDITY

$38.0K

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (50)

Jatheripper Sep 14

good luck killing the dead

Robbb Aug 7

lol

0x619DC40631C5f78606d17Ed1528d62898096B31C-1767915763461 Aug 7

Breaking:Mojtaba waked up !

altdel Aug 7

As always, just Iranian rumors. Take advantage while others are selling.

Mikelious Aug 7

BREAKING 🔴 Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is in extremely critical condition and could pass away at any moment, two sources close to the Pezeshkian administration told IranWire.

NOIZYUV Jul 26

Mojtaba Khamenei's father-in-law, former Iranian Parliament Speaker Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel, in an interview with the Iranian IRNA agency: "For certain reasons, he is not in contact with any entity or person, hoping that he is healthy"

Zubumafu Jul 23

Better sell those 6K bro, they can't hide the fact that their leader is dead forever

Treedud25 Jul 22

Already over

PMTraderAdam Jul 21

In the city, 'member used to drive a Yukon

Laurenman Jul 20

Fact.

GollumGekko Jul 19

the dead cannot die

Zubumafu Jul 19

They will keep him as Zombie leader for the next 2-3 months and then replace him

Zubumafu Jul 19

He is likely dead, and if not, he will get assassinated, Trump is sick of him

NoSteinNoGate Jul 19

Can a dead person be a de facto leader? What would Saul Kripke think of this?

NOIZYUV Jul 19

The Saudi channel Al-Hadath claims, citing an Israeli security source: "Mojtaba Khamenei is not in Iran."

NOIZYUV Jul 8

As a ghost maybe

Zubumafu Jul 8

Yeah that one is free money, just sucks that it's going to be a while until we receive it

JuicyPusy Jul 7

Yall retarded? He went to his father's funeral yesterday.

0x03141505C79F7D82eA4d426105Cb228B4eD92F6d-1766507216051 Jul 7

I don't understand why the scandalous lack of any proof that Mojtaba is alive isn't being used as a major weapon against the regime.

NOIZYUV Jul 5

Yeah bro, I placed an order for june 2027

Zubumafu Jul 5

You did, that's for sure, it will take a few months at the very least until they admit that he is dead

NOIZYUV Jul 3

Yeah I probably made a mistake buying for July

Zubumafu Jul 3

Yup, though it won't happen on July, they have to finish this war face, the change will be a month or two after the negotiations (and war) ends

NOIZYUV Jun 30

He's dead and it's only a matter of time until it becomes known

Mission3 Jun 29

Leadership not gonna change by end of year

hyper-liquid-xyz Jun 28

2 hours ago - Iranian state media says it has now "no choice but to obtain the atomic bomb" to remove "the military option for the occupation and partitioning of Iran" from the table, arguing Iran must "absolutely reach nuclear deterrence" before current negotiations can be conducted "from a correct position," per Fars. 😮😮😮

Zubumafu Jun 19

He is dead

Isekai Jun 19

Moj safe again

JuicyPusy Jun 17

His father's burial and funeral is scheduled for next week, and Mojtaba will be leading the burial prayer at holy shrine where his father will be buried. The regime wouldn't have had scheduled a burial for the previous supreme leader if his son (and the new leader) wasn't going to attend it.

Zubumafu Jun 13

Yes in insanely underpriced

obvinsidertrading May 22

you can't prove it unfortunately

tfuladloomt May 22

no more changes this year

Mikelious May 20

You don't even know if he's alive how can anyone bet on this?

Isekai May 18

Moj Safu

SqMoneyHunter May 17

He's defiantly dead. This is IRGC coup which they using his name to run the country. Polymarket shouldn't resolve any date until further information and clarity. He's not leading the country not in May nor March

TheRealWarMonger May 14

Momo stay strong

0x64AA3F2869DE45F6121f6760288432D19681E774-1763311387317 May 6

Diplomatic signals accelerated recently.

Jesus.Loves.Us May 1

Of course it will change! No other way! As God commanded!

dakrside1 May 1

IRGC push this guys to be supreme leader after he heavily injured , and about to die, IRGC control the military now they have a puppet ayatollah, no reason to announce to world even puppet is dead so they dont have to pick another that might threaten IRGC total power

Antigen88 Apr 30

Pretty wild considering he’s dead or hasn’t been seen publicly.

jayames1990 Apr 29

Only a matter of time: [link removed]

jayames1990 Apr 29

Only a matter of time:

porbee Apr 29

Whenever Iran regime changes I will change my underwear

zxcolololo Apr 27

Below 3%, the dream is cheap but the exit is the hard part. Market is treating YES like a scratch-off: YES 1.7%, book $1.4k.

0x798F98dC26CccBb7061E02F43De4E55f6362d7d3-1772125864204 Apr 26

Exactly, he's dead. Also its been a change to a military government instead of religious.

0x798F98dC26CccBb7061E02F43De4E55f6362d7d3-1772125864204 Apr 26

They released a wall of martyrs and it has Mojatba on it!! They are showing he's dead.

Kentastrof1 Apr 26

This market is more if there will come out a statement acknowledging him dead or unfit, from Iran.. They would never tell the world he's dead if he's dead. They will play this forever...

Crypto1Mark Apr 26

Interesting! [link removed]

0x798F98dC26CccBb7061E02F43De4E55f6362d7d3-1772125864204 Apr 25

Hes brain dead or actually dead. The IRGC put a gun to the head of the clerics to elect Mojtaba because they can run the government. it's not run by the IRGC not the Clerics, a quiet coup but a coup. Ghalibaf's post come from California, he doesn't post for himself. Except for a couple of fake posts for Mojtaba no one has seen or heard of him.

AyatollahDollar Apr 25

Yes, UMA will vote NO, clearly. Just like it resolved on March 31.

September 30

Potential payout$0.00