This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
24H VOLUME
$20
LIQUIDITY
$20
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)
Cazz1122. May 4
He'll impose insurrection act by 10/1/26
just.some.guy.2026 Mar 25
agreed
0x8B22A43bEC83649bbD80E14daffc4911FC8baB06-1758914595788 Mar 22
Can we get a September 31 strike?
BaldNCoconut Feb 1
How come is this not resolved yet for January 31?
colorwheel Jan 28
taco tard strikes again
FigBag Jan 27
poor guy never learned not to tussle with the legal violence while holding a weapon
11111asdaDSASD Jan 26
0% chance Trump invokes the act before a funding bill is passed.
0x6432CF47e77Ab16b84F802967083b1DAbdaE8616-1761735777305 Jan 25
bye 1.7k. he may use it before the mid terms but for sure not now
BaldNCoconut Jan 25
Nothing Ever Happens
0x0cf2310a5895488Db7D00aEf07a2Cca7bbe2bd92-1767761317676 Jan 25
Agreed, but using it now could result in congress or SCOTUS restricting it, so he might opt to keep it in his pocket until a time such as election day
fml123 Jan 25
I see what you did there
0xEEa5Ce50BD23C6fcd73083DBf07F35d087Ef1149-1723132681962 Jan 25
Protests don't seem any different than they've been in the past weeks. No Insurrection Act by 1/31 is my bet.
TheWalrus69 Jan 25
Alex Pretti much died for nothing lmao
hesitant Jan 25
i really don't like this position...
0xEEa5Ce50BD23C6fcd73083DBf07F35d087Ef1149-1723132681962 Jan 24
Because I don't (and can't) bet.
0xEEa5Ce50BD23C6fcd73083DBf07F35d087Ef1149-1723132681962 Jan 24
There's only a week left in the month. I think he'd only invoke it if he feels he can get away with it both legally and politically. That would likely require clear violence from the anti-ICE side, which we haven't seen so far. Protesters are angry but they're not violent.
TheWalrus69 Jan 24
Why haven’t you bought into “No” then?
Zijp Jan 24
why then?
Extar Jan 24
nothing ever happens edition 12584
0xEEa5Ce50BD23C6fcd73083DBf07F35d087Ef1149-1723132681962 Jan 24
It will not be declared. This is going to be no different then the previous shootings where insurrection act fears grow then decline.
TpRiskTaker Jan 24
I'm in insurrection will be declared.
0xEEa5Ce50BD23C6fcd73083DBf07F35d087Ef1149-1723132681962 Jan 24
He threatened the insurrection act after last week's shooting and nothing happened.
TheWalrus69 Jan 24
because people lose their shit more each time it happens and Trump literally just posted that the mayor and governor are inciting insurrection
0xEEa5Ce50BD23C6fcd73083DBf07F35d087Ef1149-1723132681962 Jan 24
If those two didn't lead to the insurrection act, why would this one?
0xEEa5Ce50BD23C6fcd73083DBf07F35d087Ef1149-1723132681962 Jan 24
And yet he's not invoking the act yet. Bet you this doesn't happen by the end of the month.
TheWalrus69 Jan 24
this is the third ICE related shooting in Minneapolis in a month wtf are you talking about?
vpb11 Jan 24
TRUMP ON MINNEAPOLIS SHOOTING: MAYOR AND GOVERNOR ARE INCITING INSURRECTION
0xEEa5Ce50BD23C6fcd73083DBf07F35d087Ef1149-1723132681962 Jan 24
People are overreacting to the shooting. There's only one more week left in the month.
0xEEa5Ce50BD23C6fcd73083DBf07F35d087Ef1149-1723132681962 Jan 24
There's only one week left in the month. The insurrection act is not any more likely to be invoked just because of one shooting.
TheWalrus69 Jan 24
[link removed]
TheWalrus69 Jan 24
[link removed]
TheWalrus69 Jan 24
Minneapolis chimping out rn over latest ICE shooting of illegal alien
TheWalrus69 Jan 24
Retard illegal alien just got slimed by border patrol for pulling a gun while being detained lol it’s on!
TheWorstGambnlera11222 Jan 24
It would normalize the use of the act, which could let him use it more freely in the future. It also just expands the powers he has which he's shown to do.
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Jan 23
Why would Trump do it? I mean, what would the difference be? He's already getting all he wants: deportations, headlines, punching some liberals in the face, serving subpoenas to Democrats in charge. Serious question.
Svitovid Jan 22
ICE storm coming
thechainsmokers Jan 21
very very unlikely
Svitovid Jan 21
The Coldest airmass on Earth will be centered over Ontario with mid-level temperatures of -50C rarely observed except with most extreme Siberian cold.
MrMu Jan 20
Can someone pls tip me just 250 ddollar will change my live
DorsetSqCap Jan 20
Last time Insurrection Act was invoked was in 1992 by George HW Bush. Hurrican Katrina, George Floyd riots and 6th of Jan happened and the Act was NOT invoked. Trump also threatened when George Floyd happened....
Svitovid Jan 20
very strong high-pressure system (~1050 millibars) moving into Minnesota in 4 days, potentially record-breaking for the area, which could bring extreme cold. Alaskan NG ready. Haarp working good.
646 Jan 20
itll happen soon
andprice Jan 19
at this rate, it is a sure thing this happens by summer.
Sabritas Jan 19
[link removed] wait for it
TheGoonMaster Jan 19
B my boyfriend, White
TheWorstGambnlera11222 Jan 18
Load up now [link removed] troops inc
asdfhgvbjkn Jan 18
Seriously, man?
asdfhgvbjkn Jan 18
Are you ok?
Snow-White Jan 18
🤡Just-Some-Tard🤡 has found his next MINNESOTA JUDGE CONVICTED market to LOSE in, the IDIOT always buys STUPID SHARES at STUPID PRICES then DEMANDS THETA, the BRAINDEAD RETARD 🤡Just-Some-Tard🤡
Snow-White Jan 18
NEVER FORGET to ASK 🤡Just-Some-Tard🤡 how much THETA he EXPECTED from paying 83 cents for MULANEY FIGHTS TEENS NO after Mulaney told him he was FIGHTING TEENS! What a STRAIGHT UP IDIOT, does not know the VALUE OF ANYTHING, merely BUYS OVERPRICED SHARES BLINDLY then DEMANDS THETA like the DROOLING RETARD 🤡Just-Some-Tard🤡
