This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify. Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
24H VOLUME
$583
LIQUIDITY
$583
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)
0x854b6f4f304F1c6dc78be38bdd66A3dDb287955c-1780080146912 Aug 31
Curious what you're watching here—would a confirmed U.S. strike on Cuban soil be the key trigger for you, or are there specific Cuba/Venezuela news catalysts that would change your view?
0x854b6f4f304F1c6dc78be38bdd66A3dDb287955c-1780080146912 Aug 31
Jokes aside, I’d focus on official U.S. statements, naval/air deployments, and any Cuba/Venezuela escalation before moving this much on headlines.
0x854b6f4f304F1c6dc78be38bdd66A3dDb287955c-1780080146912 Aug 31
What evidence or catalyst would change your view before Dec 31?
phd-in-tradeology Aug 27
I would start by looking for your mom
0x854b6f4f304F1c6dc78be38bdd66A3dDb287955c-1780080146912 Aug 27
@phd-in-tradeology with Yes around 16¢ on this US strike-on-Cuba-by-Dec-31 market, what indicators would you watch for a real timeline shift—official warnings, naval movements, or Cuba/Venezuela escalation?
beksaid072 Aug 25
is it real??
0x02Aa52ed973761783423CB6A14D88510A15ef5b2-1783055030976 Aug 11
Thing is Cuba wasnt even supposed to be communist it was forced by horrible embargo caused by the United States which led to a strong relationship with the soviet Union watch any fidel castro early interview and he said he was not communist.
crystalball12 Aug 10
if it were up to me I'd lift the blockade against Cuba but I seriously doubt my 50 dollar bet has any impact on that policy enacted by the US
0x02Aa52ed973761783423CB6A14D88510A15ef5b2-1783055030976 Aug 9
It should be 0% never pray on the downfall of a population thats suffering you will lose your bags and you should feel like a piece of shit for thinking that you are better then other humans. Haha fucking loserrrr
Relaccsed Aug 9
hell nawh.
crystalball12 Aug 6
24% is still too high lmao, it should be >10%
0x62bA0014DdD4807CCd3a0A9778c39Af507e1a41b-1760035063888 Aug 1
Get in there Trump! Get those commie bastards, the cubans are dreaming for a change. Give them democracy you old fart
0x62bA0014DdD4807CCd3a0A9778c39Af507e1a41b-1760035063888 Jul 27
you will sock him? That sounds pretty gay. Also its not Trumps fault there has been no free elections in Cuba since Castro-mafia took power.
Relaccsed Jul 19
Retard. Volume isn’t investment.
0x60348C0F9AE27Ae7D8987C403811f8A15fAA307f-1768105143890 Jul 19
dudes 2 million investiment only made him 14 k youre an idiot honestly. Gambling addict lowlife fuck.
0x60348C0F9AE27Ae7D8987C403811f8A15fAA307f-1768105143890 Jul 19
The united States is blocking essential electricity to hospitals and old people homes. A lot of people are dying. Bro if i ever find out who you are i will fucking sock you
0x60348C0F9AE27Ae7D8987C403811f8A15fAA307f-1768105143890 Jul 19
The united States is blocking essential electricity to hospitals and old people homes. A lot of people are dying. I cant wait to see marines getting ambushed and slaughtered by the guerillas down there.
Relaccsed Jul 13
Trump its not so funny anymore please attack
Relaccsed Jul 13
dear trumptito, please strike cuba to save my bags. Thank you.
Relaccsed Jul 5
its comin'
IamIsaacNewton Jul 4
I have a question, when It says by December 31 it means it have to be exactly this day or could be a date before, for example, December 1????
christianflanery11 Jun 24
What about Rubio announced new sanctions yesterday?
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Jun 19
Cuba passed economic reforms today. Rubio won, no need for shooting.
Everestpredictions Jun 18
Us Iran is going to last a lot longer than people like to believe. They will be pre-occupied for a while. That MOU is simply to buy the US some time with the opening of the strait.
0x80F603EB57611AA1F1b7B8C20E2CBFdb5E514EbD-1766004903294 Jun 17
he said not too long ago that he wanted to settle iran so he could "have the honor of conquering cuba"
Lavitacontinua Jun 15
trump is going to strike cuba he told me
WageringGrandma Jun 15
WHy the pump? Do you all think Trump is getting bored after the peace deal or is there more to it?
RogerFed Jun 5
Other dates?
Xdxd123 Jun 5
No
Xrhma Jun 3
Trump said he deserves the Nobel price ,he's such a peaceful man 🙏
0x6251681Bf5AE1F91909b8B928bccc01004158f7b-1778256036559 May 26
Marco Rubio, do it for your fellow countrymen—put an end to that damn dictatorship
0x6251681Bf5AE1F91909b8B928bccc01004158f7b-1778256036559 May 26
All the more reason—they should attack Cuba to free it from the dictatorship, and besides, Rubio is the son of Cubans who fled that dictatorship
0xF87d26AAD34b722E98BD50868C6de63E1C2CaBfB-1778476316681 May 22
no such thing
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d May 21
But hey: maybe this time is different
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d May 21
The USS Nimitz just entered the Caribbean. By now, we all know what happens when Trump moves an aircraft carrier.
degenatoooor May 19
schools and hospitals, like they did in iran
butterbrot May 17
A bunch of shit and dirt
EmeraldEdge May 16
What is there to strike?
Arashi9527 May 16
US strike Cuba for what? cigar or crude oil?
chetyredva May 2
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify
DallasCowboysFan Apr 19
That is a sign of weakness. BS bravado to encourage his followers, and lessen the chance of losing his life like Julius Caesar.
DallasCowboysFan Apr 19
Cuba would lose those helicopters on day one. Cuba needs to spend less money on their defense, which is worthless against the US and spend more of it on their people....providing jobs, healthcare and food.
Bromley86 Apr 4
Trump's not going to be able to do shit after the Iran debacle.
Innominate777 Apr 3
Cuban government issues mass pardon, freeing over 2,000 prisoners.... Interesting because this is exactly what Iraq did before it was invaded
yarrro Apr 2
Rules say „This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time“
Vanquish Apr 2
I tried, but you gotta be whitelisted to propose resolution 😒
baguettte Apr 2
Can someone resolve please
Hilery Mar 30
The war with Iran isn't over yet; Cuba will have to wait a bit longer.
CommonSense22 Mar 29
Who could resist the fine taste of American culture! Cheap processed food and soda is exactly what what your arteries need. I'll be sure to leave a big tip. 🇺🇲💪
StarMaster Mar 28
Scam below
