This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Dobropillia by January 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of Dobropillia is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
24H VOLUME
$103.7K
LIQUIDITY
$103.7K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)
horriblebear Sep 22
Orekhov soon
horriblebear Sep 22
4e s ebalnikami
Aes1024 Sep 22
Assessed Russian infiltration area marked in the west of the town.. Have to be resolved as yes
Quilty Sep 21
Thats right Mr Zelensky, eat the shit sandwich. Chew on it!
Quilty Sep 21
Its over eat shit Zelensky!
tsybka Sep 20
done
Dondigidin Sep 20
Connected address not permitted🤣
Rybkaoi Sep 18
September 15 already resolved No, someone propose
MitchMcConnell Aug 29
Bot
12beduins Aug 16
Its over for Ukraine 👎
0xd6872085E8d5D3DC5039f494CD2B3EDdE9BCCE6b-1776267457195 Jul 1
''NO'' Dobropillia is too much of a main supply road into the fortified Donbas Area. IF the situation along the front gets worse for Ukraine, they will relocate other forces from the frontline to hold such a key route city.
elosy Jul 1
lol already
Rassetti Jan 22
While Ukraine recaptured the 'breakthrough' villages in December, the pressure is still insane
molodoyy Jan 11
a ya tebe govoril
ErnstStormare Dec 26
Ha, ignore me, clarification already added.
Nardo99 Dec 26
I just asked. They provided a clarification.
ErnstStormare Dec 26
Asking on Discord for clarification, but I would advise that you are careful if you intend to rely on this. Not sayign you're wrong, just that I personally wouldn't like to risk money on you being right as far as resolvers are concerned.
CompulsiveGambler Dec 26
amateur scam dead on arrival. Better luck next scam
leCommissaire Dec 26
hey. 1 week. u need to propose
Nardo99 Dec 26
The market doesnt specify which one. Dobropillia north of Hulyapole satisfies the conditions as they are written.
ErnstStormare Dec 26
The proposer needs to be one of the few on the (relatively new) whitelist. And this is the Pokrovsk Dobropillia, no? That's the one that ISW has a whole tactical area map of. Should be clarified though.
Nardo99 Dec 25
This should be resolved to yes.
dim Dec 24
isw and the proposer make most of markets like this shady and uncertain
dim Dec 24
Now it's looks like the proposer can manipulate with this market. The rules are clear price drops and the proposer can buy all cheep shares right after propose or buy no shares with every increase in price and later say that it were other Dobropillia. Some shady stuff here
Nardo99 Dec 24
Indeed. But yes holders are apparently poor. We need to find some whale who can push this through.
MuchAdo2BRN2B Dec 24
It says "ANY territory of Dobropillia". If my English is good enough, that means... ANY. If someone will propose, it is hard to deny.
Nardo99 Dec 24
So no one is willing to propose?
molodoyy Dec 23
yeah, that was kinda funny
Nardo99 Dec 23
All conditions have been satisfied for yes, right?
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Dec 23
nothing personal, I just enjoy trolling in the casino
molodoyy Dec 23
I like the way you hate me. But I wish you all the best anyway. no cap
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Dec 23
Your bio is so stupid it's actually very funny. I can picture yourself taking brushing your teeth and wiping your ass as a challenge like a real warrior. Douchebag
Nardo99 Dec 22
Commisaire has already sold everything.
Nardo99 Dec 22
One update left.
molodoyy Dec 22
Yes holders, propose please. it is already captured)
-keNZO- Dec 22
48.4683035, 37.0903243
LpBoar Dec 21
The idiot commissar is right. Polymarket should provide a clarification to specify the resolution criteria. It’s obvious that this refers to the city of Dobropillia.
Nardo99 Dec 21
Market can't work this way. It must precisely state which city is at stake. Currently it applies to both and it should stay that way.
betpot Dec 21
captured. byt' dobru
Rane2022 Dec 21
only the market started earlier
Rane2022 Dec 21
This is a controversial statement, since the Zaporizhzhia region is currently the main target for the Russian army.
mrtn08 Dec 20
This indicates that Dobropillia in Donetsk is more militarily important than Dobropillia in Zaporizhzhia, so the former is more likely to be the Dobropillia referred to in the title.
Rane2022 Dec 20
What does December 18th have to do with it if the market was launched much earlier?
Nardo99 Dec 20
Not yet
leCommissaire Dec 20
wow. u are a rich man
Nardo99 Dec 20
45 now :) I'm waiting for your blessing.
zslon Dec 20
I bought it a few days ago because Dobropillia in the Zaporizhzhia region turned blue at the end of November after the Ukrainian counterattack.
mrtn08 Dec 20
I suspect that Dobropillia here refers to Dobropillia in Donetsk, as it was mentioned in the ISW report on December 18th. Anyway, I advise against placing bets, as the vague place name gives market makers room to maneuver.
mrtn08 Dec 20
I suspect that Dobropillia here refers to Dobropillia in Donetsk, as it was mentioned in the ISW report on December 18th. Anyway, I advise against placing bets, as the vague place name gives market makers room to maneuver.
slavikbalenciaga Dec 20
capture
