Quebec General Election Winner

World

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Closes in

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

24H VOLUME

$4.2K

LIQUIDITY

$4.2K

BALANCE

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (50)

Fitzg Sep 21

You're right, as long as the others are divided.

GOGO- Sep 21

The PQ doesn’t need gains.

Fitzg Sep 21

Ok, new pallas is bad for CAQ/Frechette Still no new gain for PQ

Fitzg Sep 21

I'm waiting for polls showing the PQ gaining ground. There hasn't been a single one since the start of the campaign. Also, there are way too many undecided voters at this stage.

maisond Sep 21

bro for the love of god sell, caq is not winning

Fitzg Sep 20

I changed my name, it should help me

0x48D5980a3648Eed2f44DF821253A89E55fd4293c-1787495369406 Sep 20

I mean proportionally to the percentage of votes they received.

Fitzg Sep 20

I just realized you said: "boomers also tend to vote heavily for the Parti Québécois under normal circumstances" — when? 2012?

0x48D5980a3648Eed2f44DF821253A89E55fd4293c-1787495369406 Sep 20

That would be the right time, when the next polls come out on Monday or Tuesday, this percentage will increase.

Fitzg Sep 20

you should go buy PQ majority at 20c

0x48D5980a3648Eed2f44DF821253A89E55fd4293c-1787495369406 Sep 20

Boomers also tend to vote heavily for the Parti Québécois under normal circumstances, but many of them moved to the CAQ at the beginning of the campaign. Many of them will return to the PQ. As for the PLQ, if it gains a little at the CAQ expense, that would increase the chances of a majority for the Parti Québécois.

Fitzg Sep 20

I believe you. So if Fréchette drops, federalists and boomers who don't want a referendum will vote PLQ? And with the PQ rising, which parties will the PQ have taken votes from?

0x48D5980a3648Eed2f44DF821253A89E55fd4293c-1787495369406 Sep 20

In the next Léger poll, the Parti Québécois will rise and the CAQ will fall. Christine Fréchette has had a disastrous week.

Fitzg Sep 20

I still think anything can happen with our British parliamentary system, 5 parties, and the leading one at 28% (historically the lowest for a win)

Fitzg Sep 19

let's go boomers!

Fitzg Sep 19

I sold some, but not enough

Fitzg Sep 19

I sold some

maisond Sep 19

@BeezoDokiDoki im actually wondering on why you didnt sell when you made profit

GOGO- Sep 19

you should have sold at 31

GOGO- Sep 14

Well i think its over for the CAQ 🫡

Fitzg Aug 28

LFG 🔥

seaviewablue Aug 18

PQ easy win

ShyGuy1 Aug 8

so PQ is a bond

GOGO- Aug 6

Both CAQ and PLQ are polling at 19% for the francophone vote

seaviewablue Aug 6

They both suck . In surveys PLQ sucks more than the other

ShyGuy1 Aug 6

Because the PLQ has no support among francophones

GOGO- Aug 5

Still don't get why the CAQ has better odds than the PLQ make it make sense.

seaviewablue Aug 2

PLQ has almost no chance

ShyGuy1 Jul 31

Make PLQ Liberal again!

seaviewablue Jul 30

One thing is Sure plq will Not win

Fitzg Jul 9

Did Clement Mireault sell his shares?

0xF17293A42CA43B420A6f2C45D80cd696a7102856-1760804991418 Jul 8

I'm anglophone and will be voting PQ for the first time in my life because their policies resonate with me more than any of the other parties who abandoned the wishes of those born here in favour of foreign votes, will be a very easy win for them i think this time around

0x6d67Eabb5F1F8634cE5eB2dcEEF73e03E58e7810-1772638641620 Jun 14

Pourquoi dis-tu que tu n'es pas francophone ? Ce n'est peut-être pas ta langue première, mais tu sembles clairement francophone.

Ignacio06 Apr 16

Si le PQ gagne les élections (il faudrait vraiment qu'il se plante pour finir avec moins de sièges que les libéraux), je gagne de l'argent. S'il perd, le gouvernement de cette province arrête de me casser les pieds pour être non francophone dans cette province. Win-win.

0xD994C8D3Df842899418892bC7F7711145bb1B7cb-1730229606014 Mar 9

Cringe