PolymarxPolymarx
All Politics markets

Will Russia enter Borova by...?

Politics

Eventcmtla1kcy03d6mv01ln0aqizh
Closes in

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Borova (49.37457173620971, 37.62233412539868) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of Borova is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

24H VOLUME

$2.9K

LIQUIDITY

$2.9K

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (28)

smaIIfish Aug 21

^3 months ago and they still havent entered lmao betting against orcs is so easy

smaIIfish Jun 4

told yall

smaIIfish Jun 1

Holy free money. They have to advance like 5 miles in an area where they are barely attacking and losing ground?

Rybkaoi May 26

@telum what happened bro?

Rybkaoi May 18

june market

Nardo99 May 18

That some of the footage wasn't recorded in Borova.

xxuser007 May 18

What does this mean?

Nardo99 May 17

[link removed]

AluV May 17

Ok officially Borova full captured by Russia. There is a video of some troops in Borova. We waiting the resolving of "enter" Borova event 🧐

Nardo99 May 17

Old footage

tiyszm May 16

MOSCOW, May 16 – RIA Novosti. The Russian “West” military group has liberated Borovaya and Kutkovka in the Kharkiv region, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported. “Units of the ‘West’ military group, as a result of active operations, have liberated the settlements of Borovaya and Kutkovka in the Kharkiv region,” the Russian ministry's report states. [link removed]

tiyszm May 16

Russian defence ministry: Russian troops secure Borova, Kutkivka in eastern Ukraine - RIA 18:04 May 16

Aes1024 Feb 12

No updates for Borova...

Skovorodnikov Jan 30

Buy "Yes" the Russian army is already close. Please

OtaBenga Dec 25

We need a january market for Borova

OtaBenga Dec 20

dream scenario

IamBatman- Dec 19

More war markets then when Russia tries to conquer Siberia again? lol

0xc31AB1528A63310Cfa94Ae1801E41Bfa5A68c560-1760179915422 Dec 16

Ua maps shows an advance on this front ... isw to follow?

OtaBenga Dec 11

I wish that would happen.

rontro28 Dec 10

Siberia batallion will free itself from the cancer that is Putin to them. Soon, ruzzoland will split into reasonable and rich Democracy Siberia and putin zuckers in the west.

leCommissaire Nov 30

YES holders fell for Russian fakes again. The General Staff of the Ukrainian army has not confirmed any Russian advances in this direction. So it’s definitely a NO.

Forch Nov 30

what new rules?

rontro28 Nov 29

Yes, exactly. Yes is almost a given now

rontro28 Nov 29

careful with the new rules. makes yes much more likely.

tsybka Nov 29

only red

henri55564 Nov 28

russians geolocated 5km from the town and mind you ppl in this market even inflitration does qualify for yes

DumplingBMF Nov 28

yellow no

Tiresiass Nov 27

Does this mean that now any mark on the map, whether yellow, red, or striped, indicating infiltration, qualifies as YES? this is a game changer

September 30

Potential payout$416.67