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How high will inflation get in 2026?

Business

Eventcmtla1j8m02f6mv01ol2twpx4
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

24H VOLUME

$181

LIQUIDITY

$181

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (36)

0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Jul 23

YES is massively undervalued. In 2025, between June and December, the CPI grew by only 0.46% TOTAL, and only because oil/gas prices tanked. From now on, CPI YoY has a stairway to heaven. Hoard toilet paper before October.

0xBdE37A19aAb4EBaEFAf7263E7C6010982f6e317f-1773683866961 Jul 17

perps: 00jbvof3

RollerPennies Jul 9

lol

MatthewHor Jun 21

How are these odds so low when the Strait of Hormuz is still closed and Cushing, OK is about to hit tank bottoms? What am I missing?

hugoops Jun 19

are u still thinking the same?

NoSteinNoGate Jun 12

Its a good trade but always manage your risk

GypSea1 Jun 11

If I wouldn't have a wife, I would spend all my money on 4,5 and 5% options, too good to be true...

0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Jun 5

Hot job data today. Sell crypto, buy toilet paper. Your butt will thank me in October when TP will be more valuable than gold in the US.

0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d May 17

ICYMI: more AWFUL news. Import prices crushed (2x) the forecast, and bond yields are skyrocketing. Forget this bet, consider selling crypto/bitcoin and stocking up on toilet paper.

GypSea1 May 13

Well, then let the inflation begin:D

MKIsabella May 13

OECD says 4.2% average, which means you would have some months in 5.5% range at least. This report was done in April 2026, when Hormuz was only closed 3-4 weeks. [link removed]

MKIsabella May 13

OECD says 4.2% average, which would suggest at least one month has to pop above 5%. [link removed]

0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d May 13

The PPI read today was AWFUL. PPI anticipates CPI when inflation is driven by commodities (like oil) and supply chain issues.

GypSea1 May 12

Do you guys think if the energy prices stay high for 2-3 more months, can it hit 6%?

GypSea1 May 9

Still waiting

NoPeeking Apr 22

thx man

kirby26 Apr 22

kick rocks MKIsabella

perfectnostalgia Apr 21

"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports." Rule set seems clear to me. 3.5 Exactly is not enough, needs to be 3.6.

NoPeeking Apr 17

Guys! a hypothetical question: if Apr CPI were 3.5%, it would not be counted as above 3.5%?

mousefire96 Apr 12

Dw. The ceasefire gonna work out just fine.

cheburasha Apr 12

waited. what's next

hyper-liquid-xyz Apr 8

Oil futures just fell by 20 dollars due to Iran agreeing to the ceasefire, which would flatten out the inflation in the future

slurrydps Apr 1

Feb was 2.4%?

Earningg Mar 21

%Bond market:Epstein client list released by June 30?

emrico Mar 21

just wait few weeks

emrico Mar 21

be patient

0xC2ffe38aeF57dBB7991BD9eB87C0BF29C8dcF882-1765308085212 Mar 18

How's this going Mr Delta force 🤣🤣

Roeman Mar 16

Didn’t age well

emrico Mar 10

nah. delta force will finish it quick. iran situation will end in march

yachaa Mar 8

they will drag US for long war

gghf Mar 7

temporarily what?

emrico Mar 7

iran state is temporarily. inflation will drop like a rock, we're headed for recession

0xe443cCAa6C81C620a1f146DbECA7bD6a5248B65D-1771190436998 Mar 6

Chatgpt says the inflation is 3.5 procent now in 2026? Do i miss something?

fauxpaw Mar 4

That Strait of Hormuz being fucked with is going to mess shit up bad.

Atlasloot Jan 6

Don't they just manipulate this data? I'm still taking some bets on 3% inflation but yeah... they probably just screw me the entire year by changing around PCE metrics

Harbasan Jan 2

Why did 3% drop so much what is happening

Above 4.5%

Potential payout$138.89