This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
24H VOLUME
$177
LIQUIDITY
$177
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)
Lojom May 25
gooo out
Xxsocute556 Apr 28
tom midnight
BigDutchy Apr 27
lol
Volku Apr 17
they never officially admit it but NATO gonna split
Xxsocute556 Apr 15
source? link?
Xxsocute556 Apr 15
how
0xB2A4b8516e0E1Ba364F9F2316fD430a89A66C4A6-1775081995380 Apr 15
27 april
0xE358Db7f001f95bA1b79a9681F9c7341A2dE16Ad-1759394261955 Apr 15
WSJ - Trump Says NATO ‘Won’t Be There’ for U.S. in the Future
saaipofta Apr 14
If he writes a letter of denunctiaion is enough
Xxsocute556 Apr 14
why is it quiet here
0xAFd0d1594cdBcaFF9c0DdDd6D32a054C25e12A69-1773556706525 Apr 12
0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1
Nonamenana Apr 11
Lol 100 dollars
FishMan2 Apr 11
not so fast april
Xxsocute556 Apr 11
are u epstien
Rigorous Apr 11
#Check my track record and the core evidence I posted in the Epstein market (Epstein client list released by). This is a 7x upside opportunity.
0x20304927A28318fE923785700565718cF1beAD81-1768886376054 Apr 10
After settling Iran, NATO, see you again
kevtp Apr 10
Just trying to help you not loose your hard earned cash ... think of me in 20 days
bernardbulletin Apr 10
What’s funny about the rules is the notice of denunciation, per Article 13, must be sent to the US. So the underlying should be more like, “the US sends notice to the US that it’s leaving NATO.”
prognozu Apr 10
Read the rules carefully before you lost money. Actions,not words. According to Trump words he is already imperor of eath and galactic who started golden century for humankind,stopt all wars and solved all problems. Action mean that 2/3 of congress should vote for NATO exit and it will be a start of exit procedure which will take a year.
Nonamenana Apr 10
Ok bro keep coping
Nonamenana Apr 10
Lol the rules state that to win YES, its only enough for trump to say they leave NATO
0x4fe9D21BAEcB35cE0918c926df59746575482a8F-1774269801923 Apr 10
Brooo
prognozu Apr 10
havent seen
Fuentes31 Apr 10
He can step out of the integrated command . Is there a market for that?
EverythingAlwaysHappens Apr 10
free money
prognozu Apr 10
Doesnt matter what Trump said. To initiate withdrawal from NATO he need 2/3 of congress. What a chance?-0.
kevtp Apr 9
That's not correct, unless that statement is a formal request towards NATO to initiate the process of leaving it: "This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO". I doubt a social media post could be seen as a formal initiation of withdrawal under those resolution terms, especially if there is no formal follow through and it's the usual empty words. I suppose it will depend on the form of the official statement and how exactly it is worded.
kevtp Apr 9
Nope. Only if a formal process is initiated: "formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO". A tweet from Trump, one of many extreme statements with zero follow through, would not count.
Laurenman Apr 9
lol
Xxsocute556 Apr 9
from cantina app
Nonamenana Apr 9
Even if he posts that US will withdraw, thats enough for the market resolving YES ;)
wizzchan Apr 9
information?
Xxsocute556 Apr 9
the market moves thru emotion, dont be sad be happy
13thDukeofWybourne Apr 9
SSSSSSsssshhhhhhhhhhh FFS!
velor1 Apr 8
ok)
0x591155E1ddff26779eD5f7F1C6DC411b796dA48a-1768847119181 Apr 8
LoL keep on dreaming
Aleqw Apr 8
People need to understand that those who are voting yes april 30 are not thinking that is possible. Only that will be a major talk point in the news in a couple of hours and the odds will increase. Cashout doesnt need to be 100 or nothing
velor1 Apr 8
I agree that leaving NATO will happen soon.
bonk3rs Apr 8
[link removed]
velor1 Apr 8
WHITE HOUSE: NATO WITHDRAWAL WILL BE DISCUSSED BY TRUMP WITH RUTTE ( YES )
latterationary Apr 7
Seems like a good case for him signing an excutive order to take the US out of NATO
psikikiii Apr 7
Whether a ceasefire or a win for the United States, the NATO is in big trouble thanks to Trumps feelings. He is hurt not only by NATO, but also by the collective west (except Israel) who hasn´t aided him in the war. Interesting times after the war... Maybe even during?
Nonamenana Apr 6
Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
Nonamenana Apr 6
No
Nonamenana Apr 6
Exactly
Nonamenana Apr 6
Yes
Ispanez Apr 6
I understood that it’s enough to have a simple but official statement from Trump about leaving NATO, rather than the actual withdrawal itself, which could indeed take a long time. Please read the terms of the bet.
Malachoza Apr 6
This would require Congress, this won’t happen
0x04d57F92Ae334dC1F1043505Db084E6583cd1085-1774463525321 Apr 6
It seems the tables are turning.
psikikiii Apr 5
For 9.8c, it is worth the risk. We will see in the coming days. But NATOs "betrayal" won´t be forgotten by Trump.
