This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Vovchansk by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Vovchansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If the territory of municipality is shaded light grey, and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Vovchanski Khutory" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Once Russia captures Vovchansk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Vovchansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vovchansk.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pEumzu6kdCPQ2sYt7 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
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Comments (50)
jasonisanidiot Sep 10
No, the price dropped because I bought 4.5k no shares because there's profit to be made here lol
0xf45f68DF2146a915496baA96980eD0933835Dbfd-1762867485179 Sep 9
The price dropped because reports of a "cauldron" were refuted—just as it was once claimed that Mariupol was under their control. Why not choose a middle ground? Why trust only one side?
ragutwo Sep 4
ogre-pig, sounds awesome
KazakhFenwick Aug 23
noob
12beduins Aug 21
What a failure it is Project Ukraine, such losers!
Zalypensky Aug 15
you ogre-pig 🐷
Zalypensky Aug 15
“Polimarket” is a bunch of unique idiots, just like their source of “truth.” The city has been occupied for half a year now, if not longer, and the Russians have already taken Beliy Kolodez further south, yet the “pig-people” are supposedly still “holding” the city. It's just unreal...🤡🤦♂️
ragutwo Aug 8
orc money, easy to get but smells disgusting.
Quilty Mar 30
in your fantasy
pizzaslice Mar 30
womp womp 72 hours to take the capital
Quilty Mar 25
Zelensky a coked up loser, Russias gone execute him but until then they leave him, better a retard rule ukraine than remove him and get someone competent
Quilty Mar 25
no only incels stuck in front of MSM are Russophobes, real niggas want ukraine to be destroyed and EVERBODY can see zelensky a coked up loser
cidesui77 Mar 20
as all normal people
IgorBgd Feb 27
ISW and Polymarket are Russophobes )))))
IgorBgd Feb 27
ISW and Polymarket are in cahoots. The former is painting the city's property late, while the latter is not following its own established rules and is declaring: "not all markets will have a black and white resolution"
Run4ik Feb 15
You make good job on poly. How we can discuss any idea?
Run4ik Feb 15
I bought “yes” for huliaipole, after 20-30 min how isw showed this city captured. Now you know what we have =) .
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Feb 14
such an unusual reply for a ukraine map polymarket chat
Run4ik Feb 14
You’re right
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Feb 14
Huliapole is an even better example. An infiltrated confetti of land is enough for the market to resolve to NO.
jasonisanidiot Feb 11
You all don't seem to understand that this has nothing to do with the news or reports. There's no way ISW will shade all necessary spots by the resolution date. You can see it in Pokrovsk's north. It'll happen again in Vovchansk's south.
Tiresiass Feb 10
yes but you sold all your bag thanks to me, thanks first, cry later
temarussian Feb 10
Too bad you’re not just pretending to be an idiot - you actually are one
Tiresiass Feb 10
you already sold all your NOs, so yes my post moves the price
temarussian Feb 10
Yet another dumbass who thinks his meaningless posts move the price
temarussian Feb 10
Did you hear me say somewhere that I think he won’t be captured?
Tiresiass Feb 9
Zelensky have said that Vovchansk will never fall and still under ukranian control.
Tiresiass Feb 9
buy more NO please, only 272? come on Slava Ukraine
temarussian Feb 7
your bags are full of debts
Tiresiass Feb 5
come on NOtards I need tu fill my bags! Putin allways loose
leCommissaire Feb 4
GG. This market is next after Myrnohrad
Tiresiass Feb 4
buy more no's please
Dankwizart420 Feb 3
I trade human delusions personally
Tiresiass Jan 21
NO's in desbelief, we have more than 2 months to confirm something that already happened a month ago, free money here
jasonisanidiot Jan 20
don't overreact to the ISW update, it's not happening
0xB497aa3bF2422876b76074CC73f6396e81D4542E-1764721449142 Jan 3
ISW is a scam. Dont rely on it
KotDimuar Dec 28
lmao, even deepstate colored it
OtaBenga Dec 27
Gerasimov told you just like he told putin?
Skovorodnikov Dec 26
The Russians don't need this city; they'll give it to the xoxlam anyway)))
Finalyty Dec 25
lol, it was captured long time ago
temarussian Dec 23
need january and february
Pj95 Dec 16
Any recent news?
Explorer227 Dec 15
I was previously yes holder as well, sold before you lost it all, save your last $300 bro
Dantus Dec 11
they are fully captured actually, we just need geolocations and they will come.
Dudagg Dec 11
Yeah until this month russian ministry of defence statements were always true about captured [link removed] with Pokrovsk and Vovchansk they didnt tell completely truth
Dantus Dec 11
chill lol
leCommissaire Dec 11
retarded
Dantus Dec 11
Volchansk front. The "Sever" volunteer group has taken full control of the settlements of Liman and Prilivka. Heavy bombings in Vovchanski Khutory, Russians are expected to capture it by the next days
IamBatman- Dec 9
if they don't listen to you, you can buy more no at better prices, isn't it good?
Dantus Dec 9
lol i get why you're doing what you're doing. but my heart is not weak.
