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Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

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Eventcmtla1hvl01esmv01d8ttofw5
Closes in

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.

24H VOLUME

$17.6K

LIQUIDITY

$17.6K

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (50)

0xEFB90c1feCfFB3874aB75b1E73Ee81bb87874383-1758826993606 Sep 15

well it wouldn't shock anyone lol

NoiseC Sep 15

My thesis was dumping my YES into yesterday's rise.

buoys Sep 15

So, what's the new thesis? Y'all yes holders really giving a 15% chance he dies in the next 3.5 months?

Car Sep 14

i thought he was dead? right magatards?

Mannycalifornia Sep 10

Friday the 11th would be more strategic. Less media attention, they can shuffle the committee seats to get the farm bill out of committee on Monday. Its a must win or else the midterms will be even more of a disaster for the repubs

MeNoDatNutReelMuni Sep 8

September 14th... he will resign

LongShot-Louie Aug 26

Hes dead, turtles can't survive that long hiding in their shell.

Mannycalifornia Aug 25

Looks like liquidity thinned out on the ask side, something may be brewing

Noupeinnouguein Aug 23

Buy some yes

clazzy1 Aug 19

stfu retard

Noupeinnouguein Aug 19

This is crazy

SIMOMEGA Aug 19

No

SIMOMEGA Aug 19

ur mom

SIMOMEGA Aug 19

dont thank a non-existing entity

clazzy1 Aug 17

thank god you are my counterparty

NoiseC Aug 17

We live in the upside-down world now, for the conspiracy theory is that man is mortal.

S888 Aug 17

Should I sell?

S888 Aug 17

Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has not responded to his requests for a health update, as reported by The Hill.

S888 Aug 17

Kentucky Gov. Says Mitch McConnell ‘Absolutely Refuses’ to Give Public Update

ElonMusksQueef Aug 15

23c for $1 guaranteed right now 😂

ElonMusksQueef Aug 15

Good thing the market rules state "or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat".

clazzy1 Aug 14

thanks for dono.

bdetken Aug 6

He has no shame. If he's still breathing, he'll need to get kicked out. No one has the balls to do that. If he's not, all the better to hold firm and continue to lie about it until after the midterms.

NoiseC Aug 6

He won't resign? Huh...I wonder what could cause him to not be able to resign?

Schnitzelwiener Aug 6

The Senate would need 67% votes to expel him, even if he is a vegetable. I'm not so sure this will happen.

clazzy1 Aug 5

So what now? It’s past August 3rd. He won’t resign until the end of this term! This is his last term

0xEFB90c1feCfFB3874aB75b1E73Ee81bb87874383-1758826993606 Aug 5

haha

buoys Aug 5

CNN and others (consensus of credible reporting) report that U.S. congressmen retain their official offices and titles in Hell, so technically he won't have vacated his U.S. Senate seat if he dies

0xEFB90c1feCfFB3874aB75b1E73Ee81bb87874383-1758826993606 Aug 5

No ways they are going to hide that he is a vegetable all the way until January 3

NoSteinNoGate Aug 4

You think death will count as him not stepping down? lol

Noupeinnouguein Aug 4

Buy yes

Noupeinnouguein Aug 4

oooh

buoys Aug 4

I'm colourblind so I can't see the difference between red and green :(

Noupeinnouguein Aug 4

Why are you on "no" ?

HornyBibi Aug 3

Any day now bro trust me

buoys Aug 3

Aight guys, we've passed the August 3 special election deadline, how long until they announce he's actually dead?

NoiseC Aug 1

What is a man willing to do when a man with a will no longer exists?

clazzy1 Jul 31

What is a man willing to do for his legacy?

clazzy1 Jul 31

Dollars being sold for 67 cents

0xc5FEaa93A5a476B308f8836e34c582e87d642A26-1764276878720 Jul 29

He is already dead 😂

Schnitzelwiener Jul 28

He'll probably happen leave this world on August 4.

Mantronix Jul 28

My peoples.... The key deadline is August 3: under Kentucky’s 2024 Senate-vacancy law, a vacancy before then would trigger the special-election process for Mitch McConnell’s seat, while a vacancy after then likely would not leave enough time for a separate special election before the already scheduled November race. Trump-supporting Republicans: strongest incentive to postpone any vacancy-triggering announcement, since a special election adds risk. Anti-McConnell Republicans: mixed; some might want the seat opened sooner if they think they can replace him with a better-aligned candidate, but others still prefer avoiding a volatile special election. Democrats: incentive is the opposite; they benefit from faster disclosure if it creates a special election and a chance to contest the seat earlier.

buoys Jul 27

I heard that John Thune got ICE to cryofreeze Mitch's body in Hilary's secret sex dungeon underneath the Capitol. Then, whenever they need him for a crucial vote, they'll re-animate him with the COVID vaccine and wheel him into the Senate for the vote and it'll apparently be scientifically impossible for anybody to know he's actually dead. So I dunno how it'll resolve in that case but I don't trust the scammy UMA voters to follow the TRUTH that's right before their eyes so I bought no

zthunderfury Jul 27

I hope he doesn't die!

Schnitzelwiener Jul 27

That would fall under "or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat" so it would resolve to "yes".

zthunderfury Jul 27

If he dies then this resolves No right ?

ElonMusksQueef Jul 27

This market is crazy, the dude is dead as a doornail.

NoiseC Jul 27

Sure, that's the only factor here. His concern for his legacy. Can't think of any other relevant factors.

clazzy1 Jul 25

He will not resign. This is his last term. He will finish it as that would not tarnish his legacy.

clazzy1 Jul 25

Louie is not sharp

Yes

Potential payout$312.50