This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
24H VOLUME
$7.4K
LIQUIDITY
$7.4K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (5)
hdtomo Aug 12
I stand by what I said, but with Graham's passing the load bearing argument is gone
0xbb82f67a8661078990caC0a86cB44227c0021815-1783233061875 Jul 13
You’re a dumbass if you believe any of the nonsense you just said.
Channel4 Jul 12
Now it’s a guaranteed seat for the Republicans. According to polls, Graham consistently ranks among the top five least popular senators and has underperformed compared to the national average. Graham averages R+7, while Trump won the state by R+18. Graham was the only reason South Carolina wasn't solid red
HDTomo-229 Apr 11
I agree fully with the repricing, but is there any reason it happened in particular?
HDTomo-229 Mar 13
A Democratic win is undepriced imo. Lindsey Graham has gone balls deep into supporting the Iran war, even in November, before the Blue Wave matured beyond special election overperformance, two polls put him at winning by only +2 over a generic Democrat. No polls have happened since as the Democratic narrative has codified nationwide and the beginning of the Iran war he has fully endorsed, far more than necessary (i.e., pledging South Carolina's children to die in Iran), and similar conditions have resulted in unprecedented poll flips in Texas and now Ohio, even before the war began. Combined with Lindsey's unpopularity, a shock Democrat opening here seems very likely imo.
