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Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

Politics

Eventcmtla1hjg014smv01cygu3g3h
Closes in

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

24H VOLUME

$2.4K

LIQUIDITY

$2.4K

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (25)

AnEggplant Aug 12

RIP to the Tiffany holders who bought at 60

hdtomo Aug 12

Wisconsin made a mistake, at least, from the perspective of being scared of a Republican

bravonolan-393 Aug 12

The shift is stunning lol

siick Aug 12

bro thought this was nyc

siick Aug 12

brutal

siick Aug 12

white libs love that shit

0x5bB1Fdd312729F19F3CCb4c0AE41F61EFCeA7318-1770817121833 Aug 11

I really don't hold out much faith either way on this one.

nickle-rich Aug 11

The lunatic left on stage.

andromed4 Aug 6

Because the retarded candidate is going to win the primary

kimjongun123 Aug 6

The brothas ain't votin for the crazy bitch.

kimjongun123 Aug 5

The lady who hates her own son because he's half white is definitely gonna win an 80% white state. Only concern now is that maybe Crowley pulls out a primary win. Hopefully she doesn't take her loss out on him, or start cutting...

BigRabbit Aug 4

Dumocrats want to cancel Thanksgiving

bernardbulletin Aug 4

why is Democrat going down :(

Magician5342 Aug 4

Watch her news interview about cancelling Thanksgiving. It is really a disaster. She will be destroyed in the general election debate.

Magician5342 Aug 4

+6 Dem is based on that Democratic nominee is not far-left Hong. She is a very controversial candidate whose values are not consistent with the Americans, e.g. defund the police and cancel Thanksgiving.

hdtomo Aug 4

Polls suggest Wisconsin is +6 Dem in a generic governor poll. The last 3 polls with Hong as a candidate gives her 45%, the last 3 polls Tiffany has had gives her 42.3%~, if we give Tiffany the benefit of the doubt and only include polls with Hong, that only rises to around 43.5%~ When factoring that the national environment has no reason to improve for Republicans and that after the primaries end, internal attacks against Hong will cease, I see no reason to suggest she could lose.

kimjongun123 Aug 4

I hope Hong wins, but only if she flushes her meds and we get to see a governor have a psychotic break. Is it the mood stabilizers preventing her from giving an effective answer to questions like: Do you still think we should defund and abolish the police, and should we abolish Thanksgiving?

kimjongun123 Aug 4

I think my comment has aged reasonably well. The only hope here for Dems is that she's got something in her past that can be dug up after the primary, sufficient to allow the party to Platner her. She's obviously enough of a headcase that something may come up, but she isn't a white man, so I wouldn't bank on it working even if something did.

Magician5342 Aug 4

Most of the polls suggest that if the Democratic nominee is not Hong, it would be a lean / likely D race. With Hong winning the primary, it is now a Tossup / lean R one.

hdtomo Aug 3

Polymarket is willing to go all the way to evens just because it's a DSA Democrat? Give over, and price Texas Senate correctly while you're at it

Magician5342 Aug 1

Hong polled the weakest against Tom Tiffany

Teddy-504 Jul 31

The blue wave will be smaller than expected across the board but socialist candidates that follow Mamdani's messaging are going to do a LOT better than expected and will force the Dems to require a socialist candidate for President. Fuel shortages will increase in the coming months & Hong has a winning message of affordability, taxing the wealthy & being anti-Israel. 90% chance of a Hong sweep.

AnEggplant Jul 29

*Holds a portfolio of only pro-Republican positions*

kimjongun123 Jul 27

Wisconsin is an 80% white swing state, and voters generally elect pragmatic governors. Unless the cycle is D+10 or something, I don't think Hong's race communism is gonna help her get over the finish line.

AHN-667 Jul 23

Tom tiffany will win by 2~3%. Lean R

David Crowley (D)

Potential payout$29.41