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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

Politics

Eventcmtla1h8300vkmv01vhm8bgm6
Closes in

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will will be considered captured if any part of Crimea shaded blue on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The border around Crimea shaded in black on the ISW map will not qualify. Once Ukraine captures territory in Crimea, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Ukraine comes into control of territory in Crimea as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

24H VOLUME

$16.3K

LIQUIDITY

$16.3K

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (50)

xew4w3345 Aug 28

I live in Moscow and want it to be a part of Norway or Zwitzerland. What are we gonna do?

0x798F98dC26CccBb7061E02F43De4E55f6362d7d3-1772125864204 Aug 24

They're not... learn english

DrOetker Aug 18

THEIR NOT GETTING THE KRIM. GIVE ME MY DOLLAR!!!!!!!!

12beduins Aug 17

Ukraine so worthless, its really quite remarkable how worthless it is!

12beduins Aug 17

WATCH: Military recruitment officers in Kropyvnytskyi detained a taxi driver while he was working, despite the fact that he had a pre-booked appointment. The passenger was thrown out onto the street.

pink.impala Aug 17

Is women's mobilization needed? If women have equal rights with men, then they should also have equal duties – equal duties to defend Ukraine, – says Ukrainian Armed Forces sergeant and squad leader Yulia Kobrynovych.

JimScott1 Aug 17

Ukraine launched hundreds of drones across Russia on Sunday, killing at least six people in one of Kyiv's largest aerial attacks of the war.

JimScott1 Aug 16

BREAKING: Ukraine has carried out a series of long-range strikes in Russia, hitting a military airfield and a rocket centre that supports the Russian Starlink-style satellite internet network. GREAT!!!

AlexB20 Aug 14

Why do u support Zelenskyy then? People in Crimea wants to be a part of Russia

EnzoTheUser Aug 4

i know, j3ws already have plans for it, including flooding my country with 3rd world tr@sh

pink.impala Aug 3

prepare to have your country turned to landlocked rump state!

szivar.4 Aug 2

Thy should create a market for June 2027 and Dec 2027

EnzoTheUser Aug 2

only if putin dies it would be possible or some type of revolution.. otherwise its no

EnzoTheUser Aug 2

as a Ukrainian I'd love this to happen but even capturing Nova Kahovka is insanely hard if ruzzia run out of their meat they will send kids/women to protect the Crimea

SubashChandraBose Aug 1

just fly to kyiv next time, you egt that experience almost every other day(RIP those who died today)

kalsarikannit Jul 31

Little man, you're obsessed with me. Going back to enjoying my vacations. Keep saying my name and keeping my memory alive.

kalsarikannit Jul 31

Yesterday I fell asleep to an 8 hour atmospheric compilation of Wildberries on fire across Russia. Such pleasant dreams I had.

0x4c7f4ef95d0f32a035f673f6f94d7382F5FcF8F8-1769193876601 Jul 26

💯

pink.impala Jul 25

Good news! Gen. Surovikin back from exile in Africa to lead assault on Kherson! 🔥

SubashChandraBose Jul 25

your bet is 9$ right now. It's not much better than the 0 bet losers

pink.impala Jul 23

Can Russia plz hurry n liberate the ppl of DPR n LPR from these horrible horrible ukronazis!

pink.impala Jul 23

"We don't have a neighbor, but a nation that has no right to exist," - the new Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Drapaty. Drapaty also called the residents of Donbas "a burp of the Soviet Union." In his opinion, they are an "unconscious population" that wants "freebies" and doesn't want to work.

0x68a9B96f7E919f4F310F993a80341B10A5193630-1783161981242 Jul 22

Thank you for keeping the price down. Buying a dollar for 10c is always nice :)

redwave11 Jul 22

Do you really believe his lies? We all know he’s a Mexican trans.

SubashChandraBose Jul 22

It's sad that propaganda can make you feel insensitive to your own grandpa's loss.

Todd23 Jul 21

Mental illness diagnosis by political leaning: 48% very liberals have mental illness per National Survey of Mental Health! The scum kals.. is the best example!!

JimScott1 Jul 21

Let's remove the scum below before the Mexican scum gets totally crazy. The human trash's lost all he has. He's homeless and mindless now.

kalsarikannit Jul 21

No, the man with zero bets and imaginary SPCX is the loser, obviously.

kalsarikannit Jul 21

You zero bet losers are even more annoying than the mindless vatniks

kalsarikannit Jul 21

Have you tried making a bet? Maybe you'll feel smarter after that.

redwave11 Jul 21

You are low IQ pig full of lies and 💩!

redwave11 Jul 21

You’re the loser here!

kalsarikannit Jul 21

Low IQ is being here with no bets.

kalsarikannit Jul 21

Maybe, except for your though, with your zero bets and zero portfolio. Go make a bet, loser.

Daylight8 Jul 21

Are you really that stupid and low IQ? People who don't bet here can have millions or billions in their banks. Only poor people like you would bet here.

Daylight8 Jul 21

Everyone here is much richer than you low life. That's all you low life have. That's why you are here all day long.

kalsarikannit Jul 21

84 USD is probably a lot of money in your village, but where I live, that's the price of a simple lunch. Sorry you're so poor

Flibtards Jul 21

Why? He lost -$84 out of 36? He's getting crazy obviously.

JimScott1 Jul 21

Why is the proven loser and liar everywhere on poly 24/7? Obviously he has no job, no car and no life.

kalsarikannit Jul 21

Having nothing is something you understand, zero bet loser.

kalsarikannit Jul 21

Zero bet loser detected, please make a bet to have your low IQ comment replied to.

JimScott1 Jul 21

Yes. He's full of shit and lies. He has nothing else.

Todd23 Jul 21

What happented to the scum. Eat too much shit?

redwave11 Jul 21

No. You are the true garbage!

kalsarikannit Jul 20

You're trash, your family is trash and your remote village is trash too.

JimScott1 Jul 20

Let's all report the human trash below that shits the market 24/7!!

kalsarikannit Jul 20

Where's that midget with his dumb propaganda? Come back, don't be afraid Ibn al Kalb

kalsarikannit Jul 20

My grandfather was Russian, he died before I was born. Looking at all you vatniks right now, it's hard to feel bad for this fact. I hope you all personally suffer from this war. #mobilization2026

kalsarikannit Jul 20

Я русский, я иду до конца! Я русский, моя кровь от отца, хе-хей Я русский, и мне повезло Я русский всему миру назло!

kalsarikannit Jul 20

Meanwhile, Moskva is still on fire! Talk all you want, I'm drinking some Canadian whiskey and watching videos of oil tankers on fire in the Black Sea. Get fucced, vatniks and zero bet losers.

December 31

Potential payout$625.00