This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
24H VOLUME
$241.1K
LIQUIDITY
$241.1K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)

sprongberry Sep 1
what? why??

pandatown Mar 31
"truth"
jkfld34 Mar 19
military operation vs invasion
jkfld34 Mar 19
most of those those things happened in several rescue missions and bin ladden. 2 month later and no colony, and the president is a dumbass. I'm sorry you think a targeted military operation is like normandy but it's not. Get your brain checked.

FNU. Feb 28
FUCK POLYMARKET

pandatown Feb 22
U.S. military did establish control over portions of venezuela land water and space, the additional context should not have been added

FeeCollector Feb 12
The distribution phase has begun. Top holders are dumping into the hype.

GTJ Feb 2
invaded and retreated still classify as invasion, in what book boots on the ground does not mean invasion, entering with troops in a foreign country without permission is the definition of invasion, you can probably shoot and kill polymarket ceo and staff and not call it a crime too or break any human laws either

GTJ Jan 31
They did not invade, just bombed, and airdropped troops on their soil, discombobulated some people, afterward CIA flew and and established US colony expansion plans, Trump calling himself president of Venezuela while kidnapping the true president.

Tian420 Jan 27
scam market

mbs33 Jan 27
Dilo sin llorar.

FeeCollector Jan 25
Insiders just finished their accumulation. Retail is about to provide the exit liquidity.

Weirdo21 Jan 24
why not resolved to YES already? they invaded the land, had control over at least a portion of land, during that time captured the president with armed forces, kikked some..... what else do you need?

FeeCollector Jan 23
The order book is being manipulated to look bearish while the flow stays net-positive.

FeeCollector Jan 23
The 'sharp' money isn't arguing in the comments. They are hitting the ask.

ImNoob Jan 23
UMA is shit

Chucklehuck Jan 22
Polymarket have their heads in the sand if they think stuff like this wont come back to bite them.

x1x0 Jan 20
this one is dead

PaddyAlpha Jan 20
Its dead

FeeCollector Jan 19
smart money moved on this days ago, check the flow
skepticalkamui Jan 18
s this one dead? I suggest YES holders collaborate on collecting evidence and there’s plenty of it. I’m sure comments here won’t affect UMA whales’ decisions anyway, but publicity might. And I’m pretty sure semantic games here don’t favor NO, even after that ridiculous “additional context.”

MEPP Jan 16
I mean... [link removed]
getgravity Jan 15
Today I come to you as a Venezuelan in need. Inflation and unemployment have left us with little to survive on. Any contribution you can make will help us eat and keep hope alive. May God bless your family with peace and health.,,,,,

MEPP Jan 15
after iran [link removed]

StephenCaseyRea Jan 13
So free [link removed]
jkfld34 Jan 13
pov polymarket: "those who think a 200 solider 2 hour operation/incursion/raid which was INTENDED to merely capture maduro that has no OCCUPATION, NO SUBUGATION, and it's still not clear if leadership their plays ball is fucking retarded, I can't believe we have to remind these retards what words mean and point them to wiki's list of invasions and hope they can learn english"
0xeA3f33A162e4e587ad3b01BE5cEE4A9ddf38dA5b-1766912013573 Jan 13
Trump say he is official President of Venezuela in his truth social media
rog80 Jan 13
"offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela" Land should not be needed for this to resolve to yes. This is such BS.

MEPP Jan 13
im so ready,are you ? [link removed] hehe
0xFE5b32537Ef196Dc509D437B0C499554949485e1-1764371241640 Jan 13
is oil considered any portion of Venezuelan land?
jkfld34 Jan 12
fuck you with your pumping
jkfld34 Jan 12
Fuck off

FNU. Jan 11
invasion vs occupation

FNU. Jan 11
polyscam /POL-ee-skam/[1] noun (informal, derogatory) 1. A situation or system involving many perceived forms of cheating or dishonesty, especially on online or crypto-based financial platforms where users feel repeatedly misled or unfairly treated. 2. A contemptuous nickname for a prediction-market or crypto platform that is believed to use multiple unfair practices, such as ambiguous rules, biased bet settlements, or opaque governance, leading to systematic losses for ordinary users. Origin: early 21st century; blend of “poly-” meaning “many” and “scam” meaning a fraudulent scheme.
Guacanarys Jan 11
Will a second round ir airstrikes to take our Diosdado Cabello so the American Personnel in the American Embassy in Caracas can control Delcy without resistence count as an invasion or...?

LordProtector Jan 11
pov polymarket: the invasion of venezuela does not alone qualify as an invasion of venezuela
asdfgfdhsg Jan 11
Polymarket cooked me bruh
jkfld34 Jan 10
Then you haven't shown how: no obvious control (as if that was a necessary condition), INTEND, IN ORDER TO (absolutely not) CONQUEST, OCCUPATION, SUBJUGATION (they arn't subjugated, the VP may yet tell 'fuck you' to trump and if they don't it wasn't the RAID/INCURSION that just happened that caused that subujgation it was the threat of future action). Look at the wiki list of invasions, nothing like this raid/incursion on the list. Bin Laden's capture wasn't an invasion just because they went in and stole someone. A mere 200 people were on the ground for a mere 2 hours. FACE THE FACTS THIS WAS A RAID/INCURSION IT WAS **NOT** AN INVASION
rog80 Jan 10
I could agree with you but then we would both be wrong.
0xFE5b32537Ef196Dc509D437B0C499554949485e1-1764371241640 Jan 9
Shame on you, polyscam.
jkfld34 Jan 9
Not invasion by force. A raid or incursion. No subjugation of a REGION as you cited in the dictionary. If Venezuela does what Trump wants it's not because of an occupying force or control but threat of future incursions, raids, or an actual invasion (which this wasnt). I know you don't like being wrong but you are.
rog80 Jan 9
Invasion by force and subjugation - By definition has alredy happened. The end goodbye.
jkfld34 Jan 9
Ah so english isn't even your first language and you dont know how to read it well! No wonder you think this is an INVASION. We don't need to change the dictionary. The operation itself didn't "subjugate the region" Venezuela may deny everything that Trump wants. And even if they acquiesce, they do so because of threat of future consequences not because there is a military force occupying making them do what they want.
0xFE5b32537Ef196Dc509D437B0C499554949485e1-1764371241640 Jan 9
USA had invaded Venzuela and took its control!! Pay me now!
rog80 Jan 9
I don't know what you just said but that was not english. I alredy gave you the definition of invasion. Should we start changing the dictionary now so Polyscam can continue defrauding people?
jkfld34 Jan 9
Does Trump have an ACTUAL GUN to a significant number of people's head in Venezuela? So if you threaten everyone with mass death with an atomic bomb and they do what you want and you are subjugating them do you think you've INVADED THEM???? The invasion DID NOT already happen when they captured maduro kills trooops and military assets in the process?
rog80 Jan 9
If I hold a gun to your head and tell you do my bidding who is in control? The invasion alredy happened when they captured Maduro Killis troops and military assets in the process.
jkfld34 Jan 9
"Especially by conquest" So if Trump just threatened Venezuela and they did what they wanted, that woudl ahve ben an INVASION???
jkfld34 Jan 9
They have NOT NOT NOT taken control. What dont' you udnerstand. The Vice president is still in control and just because they are playing politics does not mean that the US controls Venezuela. So if the Vice president says 'fuck off' and doesn't do a THING that Trump wants then you still think they have control???
jkfld34 Jan 9
Oh so the US didn't INVADE twice, that's good to know.




