This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Lyman railroad station located on Vulytsya Pryvokzalʹna by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lyman+train+station+zoom.png Train Station Location in Lyman: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lyman+train+station.jpeg Lyman Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lyman.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/zeVSXaeDH93mF2WPA The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
24H VOLUME
$6.5K
LIQUIDITY
$6.5K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)
12beduins Aug 14
My comment got shadow banned again, for speaking up against Project Ukraine, for telling it as it is, what a shame
12beduins Aug 14
Project Ukraine such a failure, a shame to the World it is little ukraine
MoneyCraft Jul 1
oh man
0x4DD97C9D3F94AAac75030c9aF4E23E0cACcF6572-1775747258380 Jun 30
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
ZeroBased Jun 30
Fortunately, there's no July market for people to get hurt. My estimate is that ISW will admit it in August.
Allcap Jun 24
This is strange. Russia have captured the Railroad Station. The bet is about if/when ISW will admit it.
12beduins Jun 20
The situation in Krasny Liman A serviceman of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that their positions are completely surrounded from all directions. According to him, there are bodies of fallen comrades everywhere, and a strong smell of corpses is felt.
pink.impala Jun 19
Its over for Ukraine, notards gonna lose money!
CondeDeBelloch Jun 19
Couple of infiltrators who raise a flag for social media and then proceed to be disposed of by drones do not count as "capture".
zarodinu Jun 19
All depends on ISW if they continue to be biased or not
Pantheon1 Jun 17
June is still a bit risky imo
zarodinu Jun 17
Lyman has been liberated. The railway station has Russian flags raised as of today, with video confirmation showing the beautiful flag throughout the city, now we wait to see if ISW continues to be ignorant or not.
zarodinu Jun 17
a fellow wise one
Allcap Jun 17
I'll take this free money, thank you.
IamBatman- May 26
bet on your beliefs
itsfomo May 17
lol, I seen such coments here every month since the fall 2025, and more than six month later it is still NO
IamBatman- May 7
A man can dream😃
Dankwizart420 May 7
says a guy with $70
0xEDc1972a9A27E6c5D66818CF2e5411eE60e60A06-1772705402382 Apr 25
Easiest money ever
smaIIfish Apr 22
No is a BOND. Ukraine has been gaining land in the past few months in Lyman direction.
hexario.- Apr 16
polyesc saving my sani
Quilty Apr 6
its over its going up again
timilesku Apr 2
stop plese
timilesku Apr 2
stop war no more
0xE6926e9ACAbC5dc5D65bCa49BE37E9C6a5B70478-1773745478960 Mar 24
不会
RiseFromTheAshes Mar 18
Because it can never be taken and you aren't paying attention
Dogxfr Mar 17
all good
tsybka Mar 17
sasha you're a jeweler (c)
Dogxfr Mar 14
tsybko oleksandr
Dogxfr Mar 14
he work in ukr army .
LiquidatedDegen Mar 6
So good to see schizo TSYBKA lose money by pretending to be an expert.
tsybka Mar 2
soon
Mortinson Mar 1
wen
Mortinson Mar 1
ez money for June
AnaFav Mar 1
No way they will even enter it within 30 days
ZeroBased Feb 8
The vernal equinox is March 20. Not sure how that's the "height of winter".
Scottp1887 Feb 7
April market is due. I don’t think we’ll see any sort of major action from the Russians until April-May. According to ISW as well. I’m not in the discord but can someone propose it please
alexaverroes Feb 6
Copeovets summary
Pantheon1 Feb 6
why does Kostyantynivka have a december market tho
Bromley86 Feb 5
Let's go! Painting's back in fashion.
tsybka Feb 4
early.
dissidentdad Feb 4
[link removed]
RiseFromTheAshes Feb 4
April, May, and June markets please!
Scottp1887 Feb 2
If you’ve read that summary and still think consolidation across train tracks is possible within 2 months in the height of winter, you deserve to lose your money
BigRabbit Feb 2
This market doesn't need the full capture of the city.
BigRabbit Feb 2
There is nothing in that summary that says Russia won't capture the train station before March 31...
ZeroBased Feb 2
Sure, I think Feb is likely, at least 50%, now that they're active on that front again. The problem we still have is map lag. I must admit I'm a bit confused why December was so fast and January was so slow. December was 2-3x the progress of January.
Scottp1887 Feb 2
Read Mashovets summary on Lyman. GG team yes
dissidentdad Feb 1
ISW added a new red bulge 2 days ago. [link removed] ; There is a Russian report that the train station is already taken too. The assault is ongoing, we'll see how ISW updates in the next couple of weeks.
ZeroBased Feb 1
That red shading happened a month ago.
