This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries. Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022). The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
24H VOLUME
$1.9K
LIQUIDITY
$1.9K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)
EverythingAlwaysHappens Sep 20
easiest No on this site
Danya.Savin Jul 25
на удачу🏴
aoudauihdsfiukj Jun 10
how does it feel to be that stupid
0xCC4984B3d0fa33f0ACD40e73D43619283d39c7a9-1761451510307 May 13
Russian parliament passes bill allowing Putin to invade foreign countries The new measure arrives amid fears the Kremlin might be ready to test the West’s commitment to NATO. [link removed]
0x6120f232678c5a79f2af057b34100f2B5c3BB06a-1767832584697 Apr 25
Your worldview is very strange, dude.
nexilium.-. Apr 16
polyesc just cleaned up my whole workflow
latvia Mar 12
+15 rub
Valentime Mar 12
Russia bogged in Ukraine, economy in shambles from sanctions, no capacity for NATO war.
Volku Mar 10
I d say Baltic go first, likely Latvia or Estonia, lots of native Russians there and more sympathy towards Mother Russia
latvia Feb 11
So bet your money against me, smart guy.)
psychicpsychic Feb 10
lets see
VNINVESTOR Feb 10
lol are you dumb or something bro
latvia Feb 9
What will happen to him for seizing the Baltics? Will the European cuckolds express concern?)
Daro86 Feb 9
I do not think that Putin will be stupid enought to touch nato territory
latvia Jan 20
The Ukrainian army is far stronger than the European NATO. It has a million soldiers with modern warfare experience.
tiburcio Jan 4
We are going to have serious problems if this market resolves to yes.
0x25Fc201990a3E3F25b1Cd41Bf2f159218f5FAbBA-1763540532214 Nov 26
aahahahahahah, do you even believe in that?
xfghedhygb Nov 16
If they actually choose it, they'll hit the jackpot.
cfgyhd Nov 16
Will the blitzkrieg against Poland repeat itself?
gthet6 Nov 12
Is it going to be another major holiday?
jndtrjnde Nov 11
They probably don't have the capability to invade for the time being; their supplies can't keep up.
ForSale Oct 27
Vanga predicted that Volodymyr would unite all the Slavic nations together...
julia0809 Oct 26
loose
rob666 Oct 14
Most people were not sensible.
Tikuse Oct 11
Throughout the day on Friday, Estonian border guards saw more active activity and movement of armed groups on the Russian side in the Saatse Boot area [link removed]
Blahblahblublu Sep 30
I dont think the money going to mean sl
studmuffin6969 Sep 30
Anyone sensible believed it before the invasion actually began
MaguraV5 Sep 28
Come on they are struggling to take Dombas not to talk about NATO
Nibiru2 Sep 28
Before February 22, 2022, 95% of people didnt believe that Russia would invade Ukraine
magicguesser69 Sep 26
they smoking that warmongering pack
Porx Sep 24
This is absolutely impossible. The "Zapad 2025" "exercises" involved 16,000 soldiers and inflatable aircraft. 98% of the combat-ready army is in Ukraine.
parmezzana Sep 23
Since the war started Ukraine became the most militarized country in Europe with the largest standing army. Sounds like his plan is going the opposite way. If he really wanted to destroy their army Russians would just be sitting in defense instead of sending meat wave after meat wave just to capture small villages, the ones attacking always have far more losses than ones defending
0x1187ae3aE18e61e11844bFADDA7247301ca89790-1758657412423 Sep 23
@lebolska
0xD5d131D2Fc81D0053Fcc2a08c5402F82146309F2-1758441430655 Sep 21
nothing ever happens
aparon Sep 20
[link removed]
0x1a19919A07bB8d021F6cd1CE4601Ad5fe2Bd6F9C-1758204783979 Sep 20
Estonia has accused Russia of violating its airspace, claiming three supersonic Russian fighter jets entered its airspace in an “unprecedented and brazen” incursion. The claim on Friday prompted immediate condemnation from NATO and European countries, who called it a “reckless” and “dangerous provocation”, but the Russian Ministry of Defence denied the allegation. Estonian Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna said the three MiG-31s entered Estonian airspace “over the Gulf of Finland” in the north for 12 minutes, adding that he had summoned the charge d’affaires at the Russian embassy over the violation.
Binshi Sep 20
ffdfdf
JurisPhantom Sep 20
Y el sobrevuelo en espacio aereo sobre Estonia por aviones Rusos? considero que puede esto pasar a mayores
cataction Sep 19
Absolutely
MarcusGHT Sep 18
You folks on crack who are voting 'Yes'
0x6A797954601869AAa007fB146765CCDD4f311b98-1750805973423 Sep 16
Poland would be let off leash
0xbb08314476Bb17c954Ef8BC9bE3627697feBd4Cc-1757948593204 Sep 15
Their goal was publicly announced by Putin and then by his defence minister - it's the destruction of Ukr army that's the priority. Capturing territory just a consequence.
Gluckyklucky Sep 14
Yes, I see already russian tanks with bears, vodka and seledka. And thousands of soldiers in ushanka attacking.
0xD8c387F7D25e6aBcdcD0Ee9F7d1862D37BdaD673-1730931292639 Sep 14
happening brother
88blitzcrank Sep 13
Putin would probably take a fraction of Poland and then retreat just to test NATO's response
0xE6627912bA6af61a93bfe59CeB025eBEFCd0C372-1752566173502 Sep 13
I am expecting Putin to hold a speech on the red square and like Saruman shouting "to waaar" at the end as he sends forward his orc armies to invade NATO. The media told me this will happen
MagicEightBall Sep 13
Nah, i am in kinda degen ballpark, if it's less than 300% of theoretical payout, i rarely go there
PadreMaronno Sep 13
Check again. I rarely buy "safe" markets with low gains. I usually take small risky bets with high rewards. Just like you. I think we have a similar style of bet
MagicEightBall Sep 13
Your trade history tell another story
PadreMaronno Sep 13
I don't even wake up for under 10% of gain
